Samuel Lee

@svrnco

Tulip fan, RTs wholehearted endorsements, opinions not my own.

Chicago, IL
Vrijeme pridruživanja: siječanj 2013.

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  1. Prikvačeni tweet
    19. svi 2017.
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  2. 3. velj

    Yesterday I overheard a real estate scam. Today it's a cannabis scam. Guy is showing a group of gullibles a video extolling cannabinoids as medicine on his laptop.

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  3. 3. velj

    Spending a lot more time at Starbucks. Half the time I can hear someone pitching an MLM scam.

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  4. 31. sij

    Interesting that there are no reported deaths from coronavirus outside of China for 100 cases so far. Dumb crude calculation: Odds of no deaths assuming a 2% fatality rate for 100 cases is 13%. If we go a week without anyone outside of China dying, the panic will subside.

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  5. 30. sij

    In Honolulu for the next week, no plans. What should I do?

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  6. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    23. sij

    There's a prevailing sense that the markets will revert to some reasonable valuation. That sense is causing a blind spot. This rally is a sign of market efficiency. And that's bad news. My first long post is a sacrifice to the delta gods.

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  7. 21. sij

    I cowardly closed most of my position.

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  8. 21. sij

    All right, I think I wanna leave this cult.

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  9. 15. sij
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  10. 15. sij

    OK guys, I'm short now. I feel like I just joined a cult.

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  11. 8. sij

    My guess is the Iranians accidentally shot it down while on extremely high alert.

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  12. 8. sij

    What are the odds a 737 coincidentally crashes near Tehran due to technical problems right after Iran launches missiles at bases in Iraq? Extremely low.

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  13. 23. pro 2019.

    It's absurd that someone could blatantly violate a contract, de facto stealing an ETF and millions in annual fee revenue, and not end up in jail. Thousands go to jail every month for petty theft like shoplifting.

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  14. 23. pro 2019.
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  15. 21. pro 2019.

    Over the years I've noticed that my tastes and that of professional movie/TV critics have diverged to the point where bad reviews no longer dissuade me from watching a movie/show.

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  16. 5. pro 2019.

    My guess as to why this pattern exists: divergent monetary and fiscal policy and highly persistent cross-border flows, plus a lack of enough capital dedicated to arbitraging this pattern away. Would take perhaps hundreds of billions to make this pattern disappear.

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  17. 5. pro 2019.

    And, no, this isn't data mined. I observed this pattern back in 2012/2013 and have tilted my personal portfolio based upon it. For the past 7 years I've owned almost no foreign stock.

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  18. 5. pro 2019.

    U.S. and intl stocks exhibit remarkable performance persistence over multi-year periods. The pattern is difficult to square with an efficient market. Just buy whichever asset has been doing better over 12 or so months to earn excess return.

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  19. 5. pro 2019.

    This is one of the most absurd charts in finance. It's the relative total return of U.S. stocks versus international stocks. What the chart shows is an extremely exploitable pattern in one of the most liquid markets in the world.

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  20. 3. pro 2019.

    Here's one: . While not a direct competitor to Huawei, China could make a similar argument that CSCO's routers/networking gear pose a security threat to China.

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  21. 3. pro 2019.

    China's coming out with their own entity list soon. Which publicly traded companies will likely be on it?

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