Out of all the crazy sports stuff, Barca's comeback vs. PSG was not *that* unlikely, just because they're so good.http://es.pn/2m4xywN
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this is a perfect example of when it would be really handy to be able to retweet an entire tweet thread
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If you take into account the atmosphere in the stadium prior to the match, 7-10% seems reasonable!
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the 7% is actually based on simulations. A good reminder of how bad our mind is in evaluating small probs.
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agreed Sundar. I wonder how much home advantage factors into this model, because overall form doesn't explain
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Think it was 7 to 10 percent because of how strong they're at home and with that one name on the field
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but I read that it was 200/1 and 350/1 around 84'.
End of conversation
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