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sugawarataku's profile
菅原 琢 新刊『データ分析読解の技術』重版御礼
菅原 琢 新刊『データ分析読解の技術』重版御礼
菅原 琢 新刊『データ分析読解の技術』重版御礼
@sugawarataku

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菅原 琢 新刊『データ分析読解の技術』重版御礼

@sugawarataku

政治学者。国会議員白書を運営しています。 著書:『データ分析読解の技術』(http://amzn.to/3LNanDq )、『世論の曲解』(http://amzn.to/1AdAiaE )、『日本は「右傾化」したのか』(共著、http://amzn.to/2XhFr9O )ほか。 連絡先:sugawara_アットhttp://hotmail.co.jp 。

kokkai.sugawarataku.net
Joined March 2010

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    1. 菅原 琢 新刊『データ分析読解の技術』重版御礼‏ @sugawarataku 21 Jul 2019

      今回の参院選、大勢は前回とあまり変わり映えしない選挙結果。投票率が低いままで、結果を大きく動かしうる層が棄権しているので当然か。55年体制下の自民大勝が当然の参院選に回帰したような印象。

      2 replies . 340 retweets 409 likes
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    2. 菅原 琢 新刊『データ分析読解の技術』重版御礼‏ @sugawarataku 21 Jul 2019

      野党全体に言えるのは準備不足。これもここ最近の両院選挙と変わらないし悪化している選挙区も多い。なぜ教訓を生かさないのかは謎。組織はそれなりにあるのだから、候補擁立と体制確立を早めれば掘り起こせる票はもっと増えるはず。

      5 replies . 298 retweets 333 likes
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    3. 菅原 琢 新刊『データ分析読解の技術』重版御礼‏ @sugawarataku 21 Jul 2019

      話題のれいわも、もう少し結党が早ければもっと選挙前に既存メディアで話題にしてもらえたのでは。まあ国自合併が引き金なのでこれは仕方がないか。それよりは組織なくともメッセージが刺されば掘り起こせる票があることを示したことは大きい。

      5 replies . 197 retweets 278 likes
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    4. 菅原 琢 新刊『データ分析読解の技術』重版御礼‏ @sugawarataku 21 Jul 2019

      まあ今のところ、れいわ新選組はサラリーマン新党、税金党、福祉党くらいの存在か…と考えれば、これも55年体制下の参院選への回帰という印象を強めるような。懐古厨にはなりたくないので、当時のミニ政党ができなかったこと、衆院選への進出や他野党との協力、本格的に政権を目指すなどに期待。

      2 replies . 117 retweets 143 likes
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    5. 菅原 琢 新刊『データ分析読解の技術』重版御礼‏ @sugawarataku 21 Jul 2019

      「懐古厨」って一発で変換できたんですけど。

      2 replies . 15 retweets 43 likes
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      菅原 琢 新刊『データ分析読解の技術』重版御礼‏ @sugawarataku 21 Jul 2019

      出口調査の傾向からは、比例得票率は自公あわせ50%超くらいか。有効投票率は50%切るだろうから、絶対得票率は25%くらい。これで政権を維持できるのは、何度も言うけど、自公が弱いとか制度がひどいよりまず野党が票を集められないことが問題。投票率が低いのではなく野党が票を呼べないのが問題。

      5:28 am - 21 Jul 2019
      • 289 Retweets
      • 304 Likes
      • 月影仁✡希望の占い師 ススミハジメ タージマハールアヤ 自由塵(RT多いのでミュート推奨) HRK 吉川浩満 Hinako 💙💛🌻 わかめしゃぶしゃぶ 新藤康晴
      3 replies . 289 retweets 304 likes
        1. iwashi@建設プロマネ‏ @EPC_PM_iwashi 21 Jul 2019
          Replying to @sugawarataku @tamai1961

          投票率が低いのって問題じゃないんですか? https://www3.nhk.or.jp/news/html/20190721/k10012001181000.html …

          0 replies . 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. 健の海 健太郎‏ @kennoumi11 21 Jul 2019
          Replying to @sugawarataku @nemunokies

          有権者が無責任でもあるでしょう😧 主権は我々国民ですが、平和ボケして、人任せが多くなったのも原因だと思います。

          0 replies . 1 retweet 2 likes
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        1. 1992‏ @8133hm 21 Jul 2019
          Replying to @sugawarataku

          結果が全て。

          0 replies . 0 retweets 1 like
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