If you're one of the many people shouting down one another on the internet about SF DA Chesa Boudin, at least now, @sfchronicle has compiled exhaustive charging data to fuel your (hopefully, respectful) debates!https://twitter.com/susieneilson/status/1456353759253065744 …
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Replying to @FitzTheReporter @sfchronicle
Respectfully, an exhaustive piece of work would have compared SF against rates in successful cities (or any other cities). Using one’s own failures as the yardstick for success guarantees future failure.
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How is a ”successful city" defined?
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Pick any major city that's not in the top 5 for overdose mortality, drug dealers per capita. Heck, we could even pick bottom quartile literacy rates. Or how about comparing to neighboring counties. Lots of options.
@susieneilson chose none.2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @stuz5000 @FitzTheReporter and
First, how do you quantify the amount of black market sellers if anything? That they are black market makes them virtually invisible Second, what does any of the rest have to do with
@chesaboudin or stats from his office? Those are medical/educational issues.1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @booeymath @FitzTheReporter and
If you really don't like those, compare to neighboring rates, or state averages, or national averages. Data science - it's not rocket science.
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Replying to @booeymath @FitzTheReporter and
SF Footgun Retweeted The Marina Times
For example: Nielson could have compared what portion of cases were dismissed with neighboring Alameda, CA, or the USA.https://twitter.com/TheMarinaTimes/status/1456359529009008640?s=20 …
SF Footgun added,
The Marina Times @TheMarinaTimesJan. 1, 2020 through March 1, 2021, Boudin tried just 23 cases resulting in 16 convictions. In 2019 during the same timeframe, Gascon tried 294 cases and got 203 convictions. Jan. 1, 2020-March 2021 Alameda had 1,413 convictions. They dismissed 11.4% of cases, SF dismissed 40%. https://twitter.com/susieneilson/status/1456354241296035852 …1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @stuz5000 @booeymath and
Nielson could also have pointed out that the DA and SF courts routine reject lawful demands to release disposition data - after someone is arrested, for example, for possession of a gun, what is the final prosecution, and how does that compare to rates locally, in CA, in the USA?
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Replying to @stuz5000 @booeymath and
Comparing Boudin's performance to the equally feckless Gascon tells us almost nothing at all.
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If the DA office brought just 23 cases to trial between Jan. 1, 2020 through March 1, 2021 (out of 6000? 8000? felony arrests in that period), don't you think stats Nielson is reporting may perhaps be missing important context. It's hard to see it as anything other than puff.
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Replying to @stuz5000 @booeymath and
Additionally, the city had almost 800 fatal overdoses in 2020. Where is the evidence of this massacre in Nielson's selective reporting?
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Replying to @stuz5000 @FitzTheReporter and
Dismissals, dispositions, and trial delays happen for all sorts of reasons, and shouldn't necessarily be tied to the DA, the same way charging decisions are, which DA's have sole discretion over. And what do overdoses have to go with the DA? It's a medical/public health issue.
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