Angus JohnstonOvjeren akaunt

@studentactivism

Historian of, and advocate for, American student activism. CUNY prof. Aging doofus.

New York City
Vrijeme pridruživanja: veljača 2009.
Rođen/a 30. prosinca

Tweetovi

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  1. Prikvačeni tweet

    The Dems have nominated four presidential candidates in this century. The three safe ones all lost. The no-chance-on-paper guy won. Vote with your guts.

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  2. I guess what I'm saying is that there's a non-zero chance that this tweet, which currently has zero interactions, will have 10000+ RTs by tomorrow afternoon.

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  3. And since there are three different metrics for victory—first-round preferences, second-round, and delegates—you could well have, say, Sanders ahead by one measure, and Pete ahead by another. So EVERYONE could be right.

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  4. So if Sanders and Pete wind up more or less tied for first, Warren is close behind, and Biden and Klobuchar are well behind her more or less tied for fourth, all five of the public statements would be pretty much accurate. Interesting.

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  5. Oops, one more: The Klobuchar team is saying they're about tied with Biden.

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  6. If you combine this messaging with the Biden, Bernie, and Pete speeches, what you get is this: Bernie and Pete are claiming victory, Warren says she's a strong second or third, and Biden is making no predictions.

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  7. This is the first detailed prediction I've seen on the record from a campaign. And if it's accurate, wow.

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  8. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    Assuming there is a vote count at some point, Pete Buttigieg will likely be the first gay candidate to secure delegates in a presidential primary. Elizabeth Warren will be only the third woman to do so.

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  9. Listening to the full speech, he's absolutely claiming that he won the caucus. Not quite saying it outright, but this is a victory speech. So weird.

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  10. I have no idea what the hell is going on.

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  11. Buttigieg, just now: "By all indications, we are going on to New Hampshire victorious." Is he claiming he won the caucus?

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  12. Good, energetic, energized speech from Warren tonight.

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  13. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    prije 4 sata

    In multiple precincts, callers said, caucus chairs did not know how to calculate the final math, including pertaining to the rules that allow people to leave after first alignment. Some only counted the total as people who remained in the room (rather than the initial total)

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  14. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    prije 4 sata

    Reporting from : Warren’s campaign aides tell CNN that the campaign’s hotline was "blowing up" tonight b/c they were getting reports that during the 2nd alignment, precincts caucus chairs were making mistakes by not understanding the rules properly or not counting directly

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  15. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    For all their downsides, it's worth reiterating that caucuses aren't hackable and are relatively hard to rig. The open nature also provides more confidence that one's vote was actually counted.

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  16. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    prije 4 sata

    Me: *reads tweet* My brain, instantly: Veep is the greatest show about politics ever made.

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  17. Thread: Taniel is crowdsourcing the caucus results.

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  18. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    I worked for the Iowa Democratic Party in the run-up to the 2016 election. They're a relatively small party on a small budget. Shit's gonna happen. Attributing it to a malicious conspiracy theory just shows that you're ready to believe in malice over sheer human error.

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  19. MSNBC just started running Warren's speech from earlier. On now.

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  20. From tonight's speeches: Bernie: "I have a good feeling that we’re going to be doing very, very well here in Iowa.” Biden: "Indications are it's gonna be close, and we're gonna walk out of here with our share of delegates."

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  21. This letter from the Biden people does not feel to me like something a campaign that's optimistic about the caucus results would release.

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