Steven Pifer

@steven_pifer

Affiliated with Stanford's CISAC & Brookings Institution. Former Robert Bosch Academy fellow. Interests include nukes, Ukraine, Russia & mountains.

Morgan Hill, CA
brookings.edu/experts/pifers
Joined June 2013
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  1. 9 hours ago

    spox: "Have we lost as a partner, ally and so on? At this point, yes, completely," noting "the Ukrainian authorities’ hostility toward ." Invading a country, seizing its territory, and continuing a conflict that has claimed 13,000+ lives will do that.

    8 replies 28 retweets 74 likes
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  2. 10 hours ago

    There is serious discussion that West and could have regarding legitimate/legitimate security concerns on both sides about European security. But can't be US-Russia over heads of Europeans and . And will require more serious approach from Kremlin. 3/3

    1 retweet 7 likes
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  3. 10 hours ago

    Kremlin handling of these drafts will raise concern in West that is not serious about negotiating but is laying pretext for attacking . US, and should be doing all they can now to make clear the painful costs that would be imposed if Russia attacks. 2/3

    1 reply 1 retweet 9 likes
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  4. 10 hours ago

    Moscow's draft - and -Russia agreements are full of demands that Kremlin must know will be unacceptable to West and take no account of Western or 's concerns. Making draft agreements public does not suggest they provide basis for serious negotiations. 1/3

    Unsurprisingly, Russia's peace demands don't seem to be the kind where real compromise is possible. Among them: 🔴NO NATO expansion, esp NO Ukraine accession 🔴NO add'l deployments beyond May 1997 limits 🔴ABANDON NATO activities in Ukraine, E Europe, Caucasus, Central Asia
    3 replies 18 retweets 26 likes
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  5. 11 hours ago

    Will launch major assault on ? Doing so would entail significant costs for Moscow. Heaviest costs would be imposed by Ukrainians, who will fight. West should maximize costs it will impose in bid to dissuade Kremlin from attacking.

    1 reply 2 retweets 3 likes
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  6. Dec 16

    Sounds like 800,000 not enough for .

    1:06
    Tucker: Yes, COVID has killed a lot of people. So has prostate cancer. Imagine telling people about your prostate everyday for the next two years.
    2 replies 1 retweet 7 likes
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  7. Dec 16

    Good move for A/S of State to stop at following her visits to Kyiv and Moscow. West needs to stay in lockstep on supporting in face of 's military buildup and on how to address broader European security issues.

    1 reply 3 retweets 9 likes
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  8. Dec 16

    Very useful explainer by on .

    If negotiating efforts are renewed on the , it is important to debunk 's disinfo about them, and it's war on .
    1 retweet 2 likes
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  9. Retweeted
    Dec 16

    Don't miss the most recent Breaking Boundaries podcast episode, featuring two former U.S. ambassadors and weighing in on current tensions between Russia and Ukraine with Executive Director

    2 replies 7 retweets 12 likes
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  10. Dec 16

    Exactly 👇

    Zelensky at presser with Stoltenberg: “Since 2014 Russia has been pushing Ukraine towards NATO. It’s precisely Russia that’s been paving Ukraine’s way to NATO”
    1 reply 4 retweets 9 likes
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  11. Dec 16

    Sigh.

    BREAKING: Stanford will start its winter quarter with two weeks of online instruction, citing rising COVID-19 cases across the country and outbreaks on other university campuses. Story to come.
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  12. Dec 16

    Interesting tidbit in this story: In Rostov-on-Don, near border with , court found local businessman "guilty of offering a military officer bribes to procure contracts to supply food to Russian troops deployed to eastern Ukraine." 🤔

    1 reply 5 retweets 19 likes
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  13. Dec 16

    Interesting piece from . 's bloodless (for Russia) seizure of Crimea was popular with Russian public. Fighting in Donbas -- not so much. How would Russian public react to major war with with significant Russian casualties?

    4 retweets 7 likes
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  14. Dec 16

    Russian MFA spox complains "Western handlers" pulling into . Reality is is pushing Ukraine toward NATO. Nothing has done more to drive Ukraine away from Russia than Kremlin's policy of past 7 years (seizure of Crimea, war in Donbas, 13,000+ dead, etc.)

    5 replies 35 retweets 95 likes
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  15. Dec 16

    My conversation with 's Adrianna Pitt on current - crisis. How likely is Russian invasion? What costs to Moscow if it does? What role for diplomacy?

    5 retweets 12 likes
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  16. Dec 15

    A real Christmas hero.

    On this day 34 years ago sgt Al Powell helped thwart a British led terrorist attack on nakatomi tower, Los Angeles. Lest we forget.
    2 replies 5 retweets 71 likes
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  17. Dec 14

    has expressed concern about US missiles in that could strike Moscow in minutes. That is legitimate security concern. However, 's desire to have veto over Kyiv's foreign policy choices is not legitimate claim. 3/3

    6 replies 11 retweets 74 likes
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  18. Dec 14

    There is discussion to be had on broader European security issues. But it should: - not take place with threat of invasion hanging over - address security concerns of all European states, including Ukraine - focus on legitimate security concerns 2/3

    3 replies 16 retweets 60 likes
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  19. Dec 14

    has world's largest nuclear arsenal and largest conventional military in Europe. Russian military forces now in: - Transnistria (Moldova) - Abkhazia and South Ossetia (Georgia) - Crimea and Donbas (Ukraine) But demands "legal guarantees" for ... Russia. 🤔 1/3

    26 replies 111 retweets 319 likes
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  20. Dec 14

    Reminiscent of Soviet negotiator at INF talks in early 1980s claiming that Soviet SS-20 was "response" to US Pershing II. SS-20 was first deployed in 1976. Pershing II was first deployed in 1983. 🤔

    1 reply 4 retweets 14 likes
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