┳┻| ┻┳| ┳┻| psst! hey kid! ┻┳| ┳┻| ┻┳| ┳┻| ┻┳| ┳┻| _ ┻┳| •.•) If impeachment is only ┳┻|⊂ノ feasible when the outcome ┻┳| is certain and there's no ┳┻| political risk, then ┻┳| impeachment is effectively ┳┻| nonexistent
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How do people calculate that? I want to see those calculations.
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He gets a huge political W if he comes out unscathed and can use that to sail to reelection. His supporters aren't leaving him and therefore he only needs to convince a few others it was a Democratic hack job. Plenty will believe him.
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That’s the thing. I want to see how you calculated that. That conclusion is based on what?
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The calculation is "I made it up"
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I think it was Bruce Schneier who said that whenever someone explains a complete fuckup with “we took a calculated risk,” you should ask to see the calculations.
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Incumbent advantage and the conservative lean of the parts of the country he needs to get over the hump are what I think makes up that calculation. I'd say those are huge factors if he gets exonerated in helping him pick up swing votes.
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Incumbent advantage and the conservative lean of the country are not relevant to whether a failed impeachment helps or harms a President’s re-election chances. Your calculation is looking very shoddy so far.
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Yep, this is not a calculation. It's a guess, and not an especially good guess.
- 另外 5 条回复
新对话 -
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So let a coward go unchallenged because it's better to be spineless than take a chance. People like you are why cowards like Trump get into power. Because you're more cowardly than they are.
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I’m all for challenging him when it can be successful: the 2020 election. I’m not for exercises in futility to make people feel better about themselves.
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How does ignoring Russian interference with our elections increase the likelihood of him not being "re-elected," though? That's the real issue.
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And impeachment does absolutely nothing to address that.
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Sure, it has to be part of a larger process to safeguard elections and throw everyone who worked with Russia who isn't President in jail. But not bothering to impeach the guy that Russia installed sends a clear message that they're welcome to do it again.
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It also makes Russian interference more difficult to ignore for Republicans as a whole, because all the evidence of that massive interference will be a continual news story.
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The goal that helps Americans is getting Jews out of office.
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