Stephen BushVerified account

@stephenkb

Political editor Chair of Commission on Racial Inclusivity, Columnist in Political Writer in Residence at

London
newstatesman.com/writers/stephe…
Joined May 2010
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  1. Pinned Tweet
    Apr 22

    Today my report for the on racial inclusivity in the Jewish community is published. You can read it in full here:

    19 replies 135 retweets 464 likes
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  2. Retweeted
    4 hours ago

    Having wanged on about it enough in seminars, a million times this

    A bit on approval ratings, why they matter IMV a lot more than voting intention, mainly so I have a clear record of my thinking On This Day for later:
    1 reply 1 retweet 3 likes
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  3. 4 hours ago

    A bit on approval ratings, why they matter IMV a lot more than voting intention, mainly so I have a clear record of my thinking On This Day for later:

    11 replies 15 retweets 61 likes
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  4. 22 hours ago

    This is a good useful corrective, though the corrective is basically 'seats that vote for the majority party in England close to median opinion in England'.

    Across a clutch of social issues, people in Red Wall constituencies think the same way as the rest of the British public - and, contrary to some claims, they are more socially liberal than socially conservative
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    6 replies 39 retweets 211 likes
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  5. May 17

    Who's party is this anyway? Small bit on the Conservative MPs worried by planning reform and last week's election results, and how their real problem is that the party's centre of gravity has moved away from them:

    6 replies 12 retweets 38 likes
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  6. Retweeted
    May 17

    V impressive to see someone so prominent admit to anxiety. The myth of nerveless perfection is generally unhelpful, not to mention unfounded.

    1/ 10pm last night I had a full-on panic attack. Worked myself up into a frenzy, catastrophising about first shift on . Had 3 massive rums and a bit else. Got 1hr kip, in at 3.45 (below). Survived. Thank you so much for all the niceness and constructive criticism...
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    6 replies 47 retweets 419 likes
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  7. May 17

    A fascinating bit of work by and on public attitudes to free speech on campus.

    9 replies 9 retweets 32 likes
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  8. May 16

    4 replies 7 retweets 61 likes
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  9. Retweeted
    May 16

    The DUP’s first leadership contest focused on ministerial teams, job splitting, special advisers and party structures. There was little on what will matter far more: presenting the case for unionism and a unionist party to voters. Analysis in this weekend’s

    7 replies 9 retweets 27 likes
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  10. May 15

    This was a lot of fun. Featuring a sneak peek of 2021's post-mortem, too!

    🚨NEW EPISODE ALERT🚨 joins us to talk about how Welsh politics is covered by UK media outlets and the contrasting fortunes of the various Labour parties on the island of Britain.
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    1 reply 4 retweets 13 likes
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  11. Retweeted
    May 15

    🚨NEW EPISODE ALERT🚨 joins us to talk about how Welsh politics is covered by UK media outlets and the contrasting fortunes of the various Labour parties on the island of Britain.

    3 replies 11 retweets 39 likes
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  12. May 14

    And pretty clear that Starmer did a good job of 1) but has thus far flunked pretty hard the test of 'don't do really dumb things in stages 2) or 3)'.

    5 replies 4 retweets 71 likes
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  13. May 14

    And basically, if you can do a good job in phases 1) OR 4) you're likely to gain seats, if you flunk both, you won't, and just don't do really dumb things in stages 2 or 3.

    1 reply 5 retweets 48 likes
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  14. May 14

    IDK, the other way to read this chart is basically every LOTO has 4 phases: 1) Hey, who's this fresh new face? 2) My god, all this person does is whine and lose votes, what are they even for? 3) Wow, they seem divided 4) Hey, an election's been called - who's this fresh new face?

    A quick semi-defence of - being Opposition leader is really, really hard. With v v limited exceptions, there are basically two phases: 1) Voters don't know you 2) Voters don't like you (Chart via )
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    6 replies 22 retweets 151 likes
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  15. May 14

    Friendship ended with Foster puns. Now Givan puns are my only friend. Quick take on the DUP's new leadership:

    4 replies 4 retweets 15 likes
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  16. May 14

    Complicating factors: Tories surely will hold it the week of unlocking, and it's *also* a good opportunity for the Greens to make a good showing.

    5 replies 2 retweets 8 likes
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  17. May 14

    It's in that fascinating little collection of Tory seats where the majority is smaller in 2019 than it was in 2010, and in the even more interesting set of seats where they did poorly in 2021:

    2 replies 3 retweets 12 likes
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  18. May 14

    Chesham and Amersham curtain-raiser: a big opportunity for the Liberal Democrats, this:

    9 replies 29 retweets 72 likes
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  19. May 14

    If Labour play their cards right, 'the Greens are actually in coalition with the Tories in local government' could be as effective an attack line as it was against Charlie Kennedy's Liberal Democrats.

    “It’s disappointing to see the Lib Dems and Greens backing the Tories this way” Read the full statement from on the new coalition that has formed between the Greens, Lib Dems and Tories on . 👇
    36 replies 36 retweets 313 likes
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  20. May 14

    It's a really strong record, but I think 'My Baby Wants A Baby' is the stand-out track on Daddy's Home.

    2 replies 15 likes
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  21. May 14

    Basically, on the one hand, Keir Starmer is only in as poor an internal position as Ed Miliband was the morning of 25 September 2010, and he led Labour for five years. On the other, Ed M's position wasn't his fault:

    5 replies 5 retweets 30 likes
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