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stefan_arrr's profile
Stefan RuijsenÆrs
Stefan RuijsenÆrs
Stefan RuijsenÆrs
@stefan_arrr

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Stefan RuijsenÆrs

@stefan_arrr

Software engineer at a quantitative trading firm • I speak EN/FR/NL/ES/CAT • Build the future 🚀

London, England
stefanruijsenaars.com
Joined October 2010

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    1. нαℓιƒαχ ЅЂаↁош‏ @HalifaxShadow May 11
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      нαℓιƒαχ ЅЂаↁош Retweeted  🐸 hbd nrx  🐸

      So we've 'flattened the curve' to buy ourselves time to understand the virus better and now that we understand that it is far less dangerous than initially thought - and also far harder to contain at the same time - we need to also update our approachhttps://twitter.com/HbdNrx/status/1260064102166061056 …

      нαℓιƒαχ ЅЂаↁош added,

       🐸 hbd nrx  🐸 @HbdNrx
      Replying to @HalifaxShadow
      You know, I was concerned that people were too slow to take it seriously back in Feb/March, but now they're being way too slow at updating again.
      5 replies 2 retweets 35 likes
    2. RE-OPEN THE SIZZLER'S‏ @CaesarSalad99 May 11
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      Replying to @HalifaxShadow @HbdNrx

      It’s not less dangerous than thought? IFR ended up being about 1%, most people expected lower.

      2 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
    3. нαℓιƒαχ ЅЂаↁош‏ @HalifaxShadow May 11
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      Replying to @CaesarSalad99 @HbdNrx

      it is likely less than 1%

      1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
    4. Covfefe Anon‏ @CovfefeAnon May 11
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      Replying to @HalifaxShadow @CaesarSalad99 @HbdNrx

      What are you basing that conclusion on? IFR really looking like 1%; true that NYS inflicted it on nursing homes but if the logic is that it's going to spread everywhere then that only moved up the timetable and doesn't change the long term IFR.

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      Stefan RuijsenÆrs‏ @stefan_arrr May 12
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      Replying to @CovfefeAnon @HalifaxShadow @CaesarSalad99

      Stefan RuijsenÆrs Retweeted Giles Wilkes

      https://twitter.com/gilesyb/status/1260091151144681474?s=21 …https://twitter.com/Gilesyb/status/1260091151144681474 …

      Stefan RuijsenÆrs added,

      Giles Wilkes @Gilesyb
      If these infection rates are accurate from ISPI, the mortality rate of coronavirus is much higher than we thought- well above 1% https://on.ft.com/3fDacKN  via @FT pic.twitter.com/jnf9j72JSH
      Show this thread
      2:55 AM - 12 May 2020
      • 1 Like
      • MOURNING CROW PUNISHER Derek
      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        1. New conversation
        2. нαℓιƒαχ ЅЂаↁош‏ @HalifaxShadow May 12
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          Replying to @stefan_arrr @CovfefeAnon @CaesarSalad99

          I don't know how credible this is, but if it is true that just 2.5% of Swedes got it after no lockdown, then it is also far less infectious than previously thought and a whole lot of other reasons come up to question the lockdown again, but different than the ones I raised.

          2 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
        3. Covfefe Anon‏ @CovfefeAnon May 12
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          Replying to @HalifaxShadow @stefan_arrr @CaesarSalad99

          Swedes did their own social distancing (Scandis doing social avoidance not exactly a stretch); we know it's very infectious from places where we tracked it and also that it spread across the globe rapidly. People seem to be viewing the present as some kind of end state.

          1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
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