Office for National Statistics: “It is estimated 136,000 people in England were currently infected with COVID-19 (95% confidence interval: 76,000 to 225,000).” It’s not an easy path ahead from that level of infections. https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurvey/england10may2020 …
Official number of total (not current) cases in England is also ~137,000. If estimates of actual number of infections being up to 10x the official number are correct, does this imply only ~90% of total infections are *currently* infected?
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Source (apparently used in UK as well as a rule of thumb?) https://twitter.com/natesilver538/status/1259908535548248070?s=21 …https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1259908535548248070 …
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