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I am making these tweets to explain in one place some analysis that was done last night. 1 - I was asked offline about doing Benford's on election data. I explained that this is common and a useful way to detect anomalies in data that are driven by artificial process (e.g. fraud)
11 - In the end, Biden's vote data from that page is far more anomalous than Trump's. Here is what it looks like visually:pic.twitter.com/7qPivR9zQX
What are the results of the chi-square for both?
If you mean the test statistic (chival in the code)? They are: Biden 145.75030349836595 Trump 27.964154588747956 If you mean what most people care about (the p-value, i.e. - the "what is the chance of this occurring naturally based on the expected distribution), already posted.
It would be interesting to see the data for different states
Yep, they dumped in votes, about 15% of the electorate's worth
At 80 million for biden that's like 12million votes
Barplots please
What site you getting data from, I'll run it too and we can compare
Made a tweet with the code, the data is coming from the Federal table (second one to expand) on this page: https://county.milwaukee.gov/EN/County-Clerk/Off-Nav/Election-Results/Election-Results-Fall-2020 … You can see the code collecting and parsing it.
I was able to recreate your assessment after scraping data from https://county.milwaukee.gov/EN/County-Clerk/Off-Nav/Election-Results/Election-Results-Fall-2020 …pic.twitter.com/4xdyHwFeZf
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