I feel like there has to be more to the whole "luck and hard work are often mistaken for each other" http://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2016/05/why-luck-matters-more-than-you-might-think/476394/ … evergreen story
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@starsandrobots if the idea is that there's some extremely common attribution error — why would that be? -
@starsandrobots "Illusion of control" is a pretty well-studied psychological effect.
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@starsandrobots humans r genetically disposed to ignore luck so we're not driven mad contemplating our luck being born on a habitable planet -
@marshray I feel like I pretty frequently think about how cool that is!
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@starsandrobots attribution theory; people overattribute good things to internal/consistent factors, bad things to external/sporadic ones. -
@starsandrobots corollary: people underestimate how much they benefit from luck, *and*, if at all zero-sum, overestimate how much others do. -
@starsandrobots people in the arts often talk about their "big break" with an understanding that, while hard work may have put them in a... -
@starsandrobots ...position to benefit from it, there is still, almost always, a substantial amount of luck involved, which some never get. -
@starsandrobots (in my case, selling a novel / getting a lucrative multi-book deal for my 30th birthday, after years of no visible progress) -
@starsandrobots tech people almost never talk about their arcs in this way, even though, in my experience, it's not much less true for them.
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