Woke up this morning wondering how to calculate the likelyhood I was in the first 30 million people to wake up today in California (8:15AM)
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Replying to @starsandrobots
@starsandrobots How accurate do you need to be? What are your assumptions?1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @hackerfriendly
@hackerfriendly oh super accurate. This is clearly an area where winning matters.1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @starsandrobots
@starsandrobots In that case, given a CA population of 37 million, I calculate the likelihood to be 89.3658976124%, +- 11%.1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
Replying to @hackerfriendly
@hackerfriendly nice that's way better than my 100M order of magnitude ballpark. In either case, guessing I was in the 2nd third.
3:45 PM - 28 Aug 2012
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