No, no, no: A 66% chance of keeping global warming below 2°C is *not* in line with Paris Agreement's "Well below 2°C". Back to drawing boardhttps://twitter.com/ECIU_UK/status/840873756126040065 …
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Yes, but that leads to zero by 2045, not by 2070, right?
UK is not on course for net zero by 2070 so 'at the latest' is right. More equitable alloc means earlier.
Having read the article itself: 590 Gt is the lower end of the carbon budget for 66% chance of staying below 2°C.
Equity based allocation of the 590 Gt is "just" a way of splitting the burden to get to 66% chance of below 2°C.
So, no: your 590 equity scenario is not part of a global "well below 2°C" scenario.
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