MetaJess

The right way to "sense make" is not to predict but simply to recognise the whole range of possible tail risks and hedge appropriately. Mainstream "sense makers" do not realise this and instead try to make prediction.

who are those mainstream sense makers?

Won't tag, but you can google. Dave snowden a good example. And anyone that claims to be in "futures thinking" consulting for governments

As far as I know I have always said that you can’t make predictions but you can evaluate plausibilities, identify outlier views and create anticipatory triggers. Not aware I “futures thinking” either, I create methods and tools for sense-making

Hey Dave, hows it going? Me and my internet buds accidentally use the same two words that you do for your work but we mean it in a different way.

Which words?

Sense making :)

There are five schools of sense-making or sensemaking or sense making - what is your take?