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Great. See you next week.https://twitter.com/JamesMarsh79/status/1225756416654422021 …
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You must have made some people very rich!https://twitter.com/mikeharrisNY/status/1225104780458176513 …
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Out of curiosity what is your success rate?
@mikeharrisNYhttps://twitter.com/mikeharrisNY/status/1225066523687038976 …
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It is always a great pleasure to listen to Nassim even if you have heard him ten times. He is always funny and have some interesting story to tell. Many thanks Nassim for your exciting talk at UNIC for the launching of MOFC.
@nntaleb@polemitishttps://twitter.com/IFFunic/status/1224674710082007052 …Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Spyros Makridakis proslijedio/la je Tweet
My new center https://mofc.unic.ac.cy/m-open-forecasting-center/ … offers an applied forecasting course, starting on Feb 12, taught by myself and colleagues, including Nassim Taleb who will lecture on fat tails For details see https://mofc.unic.ac.cy/applied-forecasting/ … For more info contact
@Assimenos at Assimenos.n@unic.ac.cyHvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
My new center https://mofc.unic.ac.cy/m-open-forecasting-center/ … offers an applied forecasting course, starting on Feb 12, taught by myself and colleagues, including Nassim Taleb who will lecture on fat tails For details see https://mofc.unic.ac.cy/applied-forecasting/ … For more info contact
@Assimenos at Assimenos.n@unic.ac.cyHvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
During the middle of the SARS crisis how much was paranoia versus prudence?https://twitter.com/dwnhogendoorn/status/1224238993904152576 …
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Spyros Makridakis proslijedio/la je Tweet
I like the approach of
@spyrosmakrid in raising questions in the abstract and in principle, while answers are often based on verbalisms / gut feeling for "this case". If the epidemiological guidelines are problematic, we need to adapt the guidelines not case-by-case paranoia.Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Spyros Makridakis proslijedio/la je Tweet
In this paradigm, I side with the trained pilot who, unlike the average Joe, is trained to avoid crashes. Epidemiologists are trained to use cautious language (non-alarming) to handle the complexity of public health "crash" (from types of panic). More https://www.nih.gov/about-nih/what-we-do/science-health-public-trust/perspectives/urging-vigilance-without-inciting-panic …pic.twitter.com/88Gd3TNVz6
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How certain do you feel about your forecasts?
@UntergrundmannG@mikeharrisNYhttps://twitter.com/UntergrundmannG/status/1224011987874545664 …Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
When a virus becomes "acute"? Should it pass in the USA, for instance, the 56,000 people who die from flu each year?
@nntalebhttps://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/1223986811300646912 …
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Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi
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Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi
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Spyros Makridakis proslijedio/la je Tweet
Call for Submissions: 2nd International workshop on
#Forecasting for Social Good, 11-12 June 2020, Bordeaux, France@IIForecasters@KedgeBS@spyrosmakrid@reichlab@leo_milano_@lauraalbertphd#F4SG https://www.bahmanrt.com/post/cfp-fsg/ https://www.f4sg.org/Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Spyros Makridakis proslijedio/la je Tweet
"[…] the journal will continue to support forecast competitions which have the potential to foster activities and discussion, while making a significant impact. This is obviously the case for the M-competitions […]"
#IJF@pierrepinson@spyrosmakrid https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2020.01.005 …Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Another study https://www.rte.ie/news/health/2020/0128/1111539-blood-pressure/ … another set of guidelines about HBP. Will there be an end? In a study I published in 2014 https://openheart.bmj.com/content/1/1/e000048 … I concluded that "There are significant conflicts in the conclusions of HBP studies". Clearly, nothing has change since then!pic.twitter.com/dYYZOUQ9Tv
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Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi
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