@slatestarcodex p(win by 1 vote) * outcome / number of voters. Did you miss the division? Your individual benefits dont sum to total if so.
i don't understand. there's never a division by number of voters, linked probability calc covers that
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(by "covers" i mean if you're taking it into account you don't need to also divide by voter pop)
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1 in 60M cases EACH voter gets to "give" $300B is multi-counting. Altruistic donation gets allocated, no?
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