@slatestarcodex p(win by 1 vote) * outcome / number of voters. Did you miss the division? Your individual benefits dont sum to total if so.
division is by # affected then, not # voters. i think ssc was talking from an altruistic pov though
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Expected Value (divide by total population). Altruism (divide by collective participants). Sum issues.
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i don't understand. there's never a division by number of voters, linked probability calc covers that
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but i would agree this complicates practical import of calculation
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as carl shulman points out in comments, altruist has to compare with more effective alternatives
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