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As someone who lives in a country that defeated the disease without a lockdown, I could not possibly disagree more. Countries that imposed "essential v. nonessential lockdowns" have an appalling record compared to those with risk-based closures (Iceland, Japan, Taiwan, Korea,etc)
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(Note that Sweden is taking a "third way", literally encouraging certain groups to get sick, and the jury is still out on that) To give a sense of how badly lockdowns don't work, in NYC during lockdown, 90% of infections were not among essential workers or medical staff, but...
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... people who reported themselves as following lockdown rules. Any policy that doesn't base closures on risk is idiotically designed. If you're a grocery store with poor controls? Tough, you're shut down. If you're a print shop with good controls? No need to close you.
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Horizontal: days to shutdown relative to when dpm hits 1. Vertical: dpm 21 days late If lockdown worked, there should be a strong correlation bottom left to upper right. There isn't. Lockdowns sound like "acting tough", but they're terrible policy.
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