A few things for web developers about IDC's recent report on smartphone shipment volumes: https://www.idc.com/getdoc.jsp?containerId=prUS45414919 … (thread)
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Why? Because we'll start to see the low-end start to climb the performance curve. Current web developer practice is 3-10x too expensive for mobile today. If we can cut our costs to the user by 50 or 80% and CPUs 5x in the next few years, we could actually compete.
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Practically, that still means you need to target something like the Moto G4 for the next few years. But you might not need to aim lower than that (as I've feared since '16).
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That leaves the "competitive enough platform" and "good enough network" parts to worry about. Modulo Apple and FB fundamentally undermining the web, we're on a good trajectory re: capabilities. Networks: IDK, but reason to hope.
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End of conversation
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Also, (imho) we're seeing decreased app installation appetite from stores, lower retention as appetites shift more quickly in a immediate gratification world. The web let's you move quickly and doesn't need the same level of gatekeeping to grant access for end users to services.
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