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slightlylate's profile
Alex Russell
Alex Russell
Alex Russell
@slightlylate

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Alex Russell

@slightlylate

Chrome Project 🐡 & Web Standards TL; Blink API OWNER Named PWAs w/ @phae; probably making her ☕ DMs open. Tweets my own; press@google.com for official comms.

San Francisco, The Internet
infrequently.org
Joined December 2010

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    1. Alex Russell‏ @slightlylate 8 Sep 2019
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      A few things for web developers about IDC's recent report on smartphone shipment volumes: https://www.idc.com/getdoc.jsp?containerId=prUS45414919 … (thread)

      1 reply 11 retweets 22 likes
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    2. Alex Russell‏ @slightlylate 8 Sep 2019
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      First, if you're a web developer, you are probably reading this on an Apple device. In both computers and smartphones *Apple is a niche player*. 10% of smartphone volume, down from ~12% this time last year. Compare that with ~7% share in computers:https://www.cultofmac.com/618730/q1-2019-pc-market-apple-mac-gartner/ …

      1 reply 1 retweet 3 likes
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    3. Alex Russell‏ @slightlylate 8 Sep 2019
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      Second, *most* new smartphones are *not* flagship devices -- Apple breaks the mould here as they start at a (much) higher price, but even they sell many more XRs than XSs:https://www.gizmochina.com/2019/09/06/iphone-xr-bestselling-phone-h1-2019/ …

      1 reply 1 retweet 2 likes
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    4. Alex Russell‏ @slightlylate 8 Sep 2019
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      Alex Russell Retweeted Alex Russell

      Next, nearly all new Androids are slower than *any* new iOS device:https://mobile.twitter.com/slightlylate/status/1139684093602349056 …

      Alex Russell added,

      Alex Russell @slightlylate
      People sometimes suggest I should calm down about web performance because the web feels fine on *their* phone. @DasSurma and I pulled a little data to try to visualise why that might be both true and not particularly relevant: pic.twitter.com/9EfoaEJLgf
      Show this thread
      1 reply 2 retweets 4 likes
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    5. Alex Russell‏ @slightlylate 8 Sep 2019
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      On the falling volume thing, this is a *good* sign AFAICT. Up until now, the defining property of the aggregate performance curve for mobile has been defined not by the high-end getting faster, but by the low-end getting cheaper & outselling the high-end 3:1 or more.

      2 replies 1 retweet 2 likes
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    6. Alex Russell‏ @slightlylate 8 Sep 2019
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      Falling overall volume signals that we're getting closer to saturation; that folks who are in the market for a smartphone for the first time is a falling fraction of the total market. When you're shopping for your *second* phone, you really have a sense for why speed matters.

      1 reply 1 retweet 3 likes
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    7. Alex Russell‏ @slightlylate 8 Sep 2019
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      We've heard this in user studies: folks holding out to upgrade until they can afford a mid-tier device, even though they can afford a new (and much better) low-end device than the one they purchased as their first. Quality matters, but only once basic need has been met.

      1 reply 1 retweet 3 likes
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      Alex Russell‏ @slightlylate 8 Sep 2019
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      Android was *90%* of shipments in Q2. Let that sink in. How much of your focus is on Android?

      9:09 PM - 8 Sep 2019
      • 8 Retweets
      • 16 Likes
      • Michael Galpin Dion Almaer sirshannon Tim van der Lippe Arthur Stolyar Chris Joel Claire Wood Justin Schuh mike geyser ⟨ 🐘 ⁄ ⟩
      2 replies 8 retweets 16 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Alex Russell‏ @slightlylate 8 Sep 2019
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          The web took off on desktop because we got a competitive-enough platform plus a surplus of CPU (for most people) and enough network bandwidth to make sipping UI through a straw work passably. If we're getting to device saturation, that's a hopeful sign for the web.

          2 replies 2 retweets 7 likes
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        3. Alex Russell‏ @slightlylate 8 Sep 2019
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          Why? Because we'll start to see the low-end start to climb the performance curve. Current web developer practice is 3-10x too expensive for mobile today. If we can cut our costs to the user by 50 or 80% and CPUs 5x in the next few years, we could actually compete.

          1 reply 2 retweets 7 likes
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        4. Alex Russell‏ @slightlylate 8 Sep 2019
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          Practically, that still means you need to target something like the Moto G4 for the next few years. But you might not need to aim lower than that (as I've feared since '16).

          3 replies 3 retweets 8 likes
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        5. Alex Russell‏ @slightlylate 8 Sep 2019
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          That leaves the "competitive enough platform" and "good enough network" parts to worry about. Modulo Apple and FB fundamentally undermining the web, we're on a good trajectory re: capabilities. Networks: IDK, but reason to hope.

          1 reply 3 retweets 7 likes
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        6. End of conversation
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        2. Arthur Stolyar‏ @nekrtemplar 8 Sep 2019
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          Replying to @slightlylate

          This is what I'm trying to convey to people. Problem is not only in developers, but in whole companies using primary Apple devices. Designers, company tops, other people. All use Apple devices. Sometimes even Android developers use Apple smartphones.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        3. Arthur Stolyar‏ @nekrtemplar 8 Sep 2019
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          Replying to @nekrtemplar @slightlylate

          All stats say "we should focus on Android first", but it doesn't work. I don't know why, but I'm trying to find out.

          2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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