and SABR people would laugh you out of the room if you posited "h" a factor that could be expressed linearly that determined hitting ability
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yet, to me, a dummy, "ability to hit baseballs" is easier to define, measure and recognize than "intelligence" is by a lot!
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Replying to @mtsw @johndbro1
Isn't this what batting average is? Or am I misunderstanding?
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Replying to @slatestarcodex @johndbro1
e.g. easy for baseball scouts to identify that say, byron buxton has more hitting ability than eric sogard despite sogard's better results
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Replying to @mtsw @johndbro1
I would be surprised it it were literally impossible to make a number correlated with people's ability to hit a ball in a game.
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Replying to @slatestarcodex @johndbro1
if you can figure that out in a useful way many baseball front offices would pay you large amounts of money
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Replying to @mtsw @johndbro1
You think no statistic is even *correlated* with underlying ability?
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That if we know one guy has highest batting average in league, and other guy has lowest, we have literally no clue who's better?
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Replying to @slatestarcodex @johndbro1
oh sure there are correlations but positing a single underlying factor isn't useful the system (batter vs pitcher) is too complex
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Replying to @mtsw @johndbro1
I'm not sure that's true. Wouldn't I (not athletically skilled) do worse than Babe Ruth at pretty much everything?
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And if we invented some completely new baseball statistic, wouldn't we have high probability Ruth would beat me in it?
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If this is true, lack of correlation between all measures of good hitting in preselected players might be example of tails coming apart.
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