Good post. But hard to square with my experiences when I lived in Silicon Valley, where companies seemed genuinely desperate for new coders
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Very easy programming question most job applicants inexplicably fail. See eg https://blog.codinghorror.com/why-cant-programmers-program/ … orhttps://softwareengineering.stackexchange.com/questions/15623/fizzbuzz-really …
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A lot of what I've seen makes sense if ~25% of STEM graduates have even minimal competence, and these people are in high demand
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Though this agrees with your thesis that more STEM graduates might not do much, since unlikely that marginal student will be in this group.
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Have you read
@danluu on developer hiring ? https://danluu.com/programmer-moneyball/ … https://danluu.com/hiring-lemons/ -
There is a lot of truth in those links. Note also how important are various non-tangible signals - proof of passion, nonspecific culture fit
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Also, in popular narrative CS graduates are the best demographics to run new company and simultaneously incapable to write for loop.
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Actual shortage would mean I come to SV, say: "I work 4 days a week and no more" and they hire me cause it is better then no one.
End of conversation
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