.@slatestarcodex At what point will you reject null & decide no, things are not OK with this, my terrified fans & the historians are right?
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@slatestarcodex Also: which ones do you believe were violated? I can just remove those from consideration. I shouldn't. I will. -
But my point was that of the chance of those predictions being violated is by chance.
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@slatestarcodex Then you should not have made predictions so vague as to be meaningless and falsified by an agreeable case of null hyp. -
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@slatestarcodex So: kindly bet, or revise/recant, or rightfully lose another little chunk of your audiences credence in you. - 1 more reply
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