.@slatestarcodex At what point will you reject null & decide no, things are not OK with this, my terrified fans & the historians are right?
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It is not. My prediction is the opposite of yours: "at least one of your predictions is falsified, p = 0.45".
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You are essentially saying that you have more confidence in his predictions than he does.
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I posted a few predictions, and I'm interested in your comments.https://twitter.com/puckthecat1/status/799636166555369473 …
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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