Hi Scott, enjoy your approach to this stuff. Here are some predictions. What say you?pic.twitter.com/hXWUZRMDjB
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Hi Scott, enjoy your approach to this stuff. Here are some predictions. What say you?pic.twitter.com/hXWUZRMDjB
Agree with 1, 2a, 6, but all true of recent past admins. Think 2b is fault of ppl crying wolf. Disagree 3, 4. Unsure 5.
4 requires time parameter to be testable. 5 yrs from appointment&80% I would stand by strongly. Recently researched topic.
3 we may have a straight-up testable disagreement.
Hi @slatestarcodex. I know you got somewhat tired of dealing with this post--but have you given thought to your predictions?pic.twitter.com/8u79hQ4Q6k
I believe your 70% confidence cabinet prediction has failed. Hate crimes I think you're in danger on, but too early to know
Remainder of yours seem pretty low hanging fruit, with questionable causal link to Trump's decision-making.
Feeling pretty good about mine.
predictions? I like data driven analysis myself
I'll only ask: what would make you change your mind?https://blog.valerieaurora.org/2016/11/18/spreadsheet-of-signs-of-fascism/ …
And one more note I'd like to make: 2015 was already a shockingly high year for hate crimes.
In other words, what do you attribute that increase to, if we're ruling out Trump's campaign?
I have a challenge. You predicted that hate crimes would increase up to %25 compared to '15. How do you justify this?
You're insulting your own intelligence if you keep pretending not to understand why racists use dog-whistles.
The tweet I see above this one is about Sessions retweeting "Not anymore, Jews." Do you still call that ambiguous?
Trying to - mentioned you and you haven't responded.
I think Trump's in way over his head, & thusly will resign within a year or so.
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