@slatestarcodex I will put down $50 at 2:3 odds that trump's cabiniet will be 20% minority (I think the probability is around 55%)
Just remind me if you end up being right & give me your paypal address. I miss things on Twitter so use email.
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Got it $40 1:1 odds I bet the under on proposition 4B of http://slatestarcodex.com/2016/11/16/you-are-still-crying-wolf/ …
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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