Sorry, that was unwarranted snark on my part.
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Replying to @St_Rev @slatestarcodex
Seriously though: I do not believe that education, IQ, or political informedness matter significantly. Not 0, but epsilon.
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Replying to @St_Rev @slatestarcodex
Education is mostly a marker of class identity. High IQ means you know 2ε instead of ε. Informedness ~= pro wrestling fandom
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Replying to @St_Rev
I'm confused. You often offer political opinions. Is that because you think you are more right than other people?
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Replying to @slatestarcodex
I'm obsessed with the meta problems of how people form and act on political beliefs. It's a hobby.
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Replying to @St_Rev @slatestarcodex
I do not vote, and believe political action to be fundamentally immoral.
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Replying to @St_Rev
I'm not sure how you can claim both a political efficient market hypothesis, and criticize some people for hurting others needlessly
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Replying to @slatestarcodex @St_Rev
It sounds like you think you have more than zero information about whether that's a good idea.
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Replying to @slatestarcodex
Let's be clear about which problem we're addressing. I have a two-pronged critique of the Nate Silver doctrine:
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Replying to @St_Rev @slatestarcodex
1) As framed, it fails bc you should have very low confidence in your beliefs about global welfare *if a vote is 50-50*.
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~50% of US is creationist. I think it's possible for 50% to believe something, still feel strongly that it's trivially wrong.
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Replying to @slatestarcodex
The theory of evolution is relatively simple to understand. Most people who believe it nevertheless don't understand it.
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Replying to @St_Rev @slatestarcodex
But importantly, belief in it is irrelevant to almost every practical question unless you're a working biologist.
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