Benjamin MorrisOverený účet

@skepticalsports

Sports epistemology junkie. From Alaska via Hawaii, the Army, Yale, Stanford, , and many casinos in between. Husband, father, textbook-writer.

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Na Twitteri od: august 2010
Dátum narodenia: 24. marca

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  1. Pripnutý Tweet
    26. 3. 2015

    Things I never thought I'd see on : A) Son. B) Daughter. C) Badass 6-pane R layout. D) XKCD nerd shirt.

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  2. pred 10 hodinami

    So the old guy on the bench clearly makes no sense, right? We all in agreement about that?

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  3. Retweetol používateľ
    27. 4.

    . with one of the greatest draft pick announcements of all time 🔥

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  4. Retweetol používateľ
    24. 4.

    is cool, but that freak that memorized the whammies pattern on “Press Your Luck” is the real O.G. .

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  5. 25. 4.

    On further reflection, I think was basically right. Difference between Holz and Ken regular clue-wise has been marginal, but Holz hitting a higher percentage of DD and wagering more is responsible for the bulk of the outcome disparity.

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  6. 25. 4.

    IDK their methodology, but same site places expected win streak at 49 games, with an 18% chance of 75. this is clearly something 538 needs to get on.

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  7. 25. 4.

    Here’s a breakdown of Holzhauer vs. Jennings through 15 games. They’re much closer than I thought:

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  8. 25. 4.

    Deleted for incorrectness. His BA is only ~60%, very slightly higher than Jennings.

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  9. 25. 4.

    This is good stuff. Holzhauer is playing a great strategic game. But let’s not lose sight of the fact that the primary reason for his success has been his insane accuracy. He has been setting all-time records for answers, batting avg, Coryat score, etc.

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  10. 25. 4.

    Today in outliers: - Through his 15-day Jeopardy streak, James Holzhauer has averaged $75,678 per game (so far). - In his 74-day streak, ’s highest single game total was $75,000. - Before James, the previous all-time single game record was $77,000.

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  11. 24. 4.

    Also when you’re hitting 91% of your DD and 93% of FJ obv the math is very different from when you’re hitting 83%/68% as Jennings did.

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  12. 24. 4.

    My main concern is I’m not sure short-run $$$-maxing is optimal for a dominant contestant, at least w/r/t overall win streak. I’ve previously found that even notoriously “conservative” Jennings took a fair number of unecessary risks with DDs. But this guy is amazing.

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  13. 24. 4.

    Wait, so this James Holzhauer guy on Jeopardy is basically a combination of ’s trivia ability with ’s $$$-maximizing gambling sensibility—except maybe better at both so far.

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  14. 18. 4.

    This is an interesting question of the “I assumed everyone would give the same answer as me but opinion is pretty split” variety.

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  15. 18. 4.

    I wonder what Martha Stewart is thinking right now.

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  16. 16. 4.

    I’d pay to see Mayor Pete debate Mitt Romney in French.

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  17. Retweetol používateľ
    15. 4.

    More Victor Hugo on Notre Dame “the deposit of a whole people; the heaped-up treasure of centuries; the residuum left by the successive evaporations of human society”

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  18. Retweetol používateľ
    15. 4.

    Notre-Dame de Paris en proie aux flammes. Émotion de toute une nation. Pensée pour tous les catholiques et pour tous les Français. Comme tous nos compatriotes, je suis triste ce soir de voir brûler cette part de nous.

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  19. 15. 4.
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  20. 15. 4.
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  21. 15. 4.

    💔😢💦🌊

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