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12. Barack Obama is literally the only leader in America with more social media followers than Trump. He has twice as many, by the way. He would mop the floor with Trump. He would've stomped him in 2012 and would squash him right now.
13. It is my very, very strong belief that without an enormous social media following, Trump's 2020 political opponent will struggle to build momentum against him. The thing is, very few people in America already have a huge social media following.
14. The 1st factor a Democratic candidate will need is a huge social media following. The 2nd factor that a candidate MUST have is a dedicated, excited core base of supporters that already exists.
15. Here's what I am looking for? Can you pack a stadium full of people today? Without Beyonce or Bruce Springsteen opening up for you. Because it is my belief that if you are not already that popular RIGHT NOW, you can't beat Trump. Period.
16. The 1st factor a candidate needs to defeat Trump is a huge social media following. The 2nd is the ability to pack a stadium full of people TODAY, without an opening act. The 3rd factor is this candidate has to pose a STRONG contrast in character/personality to Donald Trump
17. The Democratic candidate in 2020 MUST contrast with Donald Trump. They must be a person of impeccable integrity. They must be known for decency and compassion. They must be seen as generous and inspirational. No corruption.
18. Lastly, the Democratic candidate in 2020 must have a demonstrated history of being able to organize people on the national level. It would help if they have a real presence in all 50 states and know how to organize and mobilize people in practical ways.
19. In summary, here are the 4 factors needed to defeat Trump. a. A huge social media following b. A deeply devoted base of support - enough to pack stadiums c. A strong contrast in personality & character to Trump d. Experience with organizing on the national level
20. I believe just 3 people have the 4 factors to defeat Trump easily. Others could still win, but these 3 people would crush him. A. Oprah B. Michelle Obama C. Bernie Sanders Biden could win. Booker, Harris, Warren, Gillibrand could win Oprah, Michelle, Bernie would crush it
21. I agree with every single argument that "we don't need another celebrity." But 2020 is not normal. The person does not have to be a celebrity per se, but to defeat Trump, to win back the news cycle, will take very unique factors that only a few people have It's where we are
22. End of thread. We must not treat running against Trump like it's a normal thing. He's not normal. How he dominates the news is not normal. Defeating him will require a different approach. We could perhaps go back to normal down the road. But we're not there yet.
how many of his followers are real?
A big problem is Sanders/Clinton split in party. We need them to become friends (seriously) and find a way to heal the breach among Dems.
It is demonstrable that a good 50% or more of Trump’s twitter followers are bots or dupe accounts. If our next presidential election depends on follower count then Twitter needs to clean their house
Half of Trump's followers are bots but twitter won't do jack about it.
Bernie.
how many of his followers just follow him to stay aware of what he says?
Your commentary re the democrat primaries being a cruicible where the candidates really gather momentum is very telling. The 2016 primaries were just a drag, draining energy from H and B both.
I do like the Michelle Obama idea. I wish she would reconsider and run.
Very good points, if @realDonaldTrump will still be as popular with his base at that time.
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