2. Anyone telling you that now is not the time to TALK about the 2020 presidential election does not understand how presidential primaries and elections work. Yes, we must mainly focus on 2018 mid-term elections. Even important 2019 races. Now is the time to TALK about 2020.
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13. It is my very, very strong belief that without an enormous social media following, Trump's 2020 political opponent will struggle to build momentum against him. The thing is, very few people in America already have a huge social media following.
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14. The 1st factor a Democratic candidate will need is a huge social media following. The 2nd factor that a candidate MUST have is a dedicated, excited core base of supporters that already exists.
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15. Here's what I am looking for? Can you pack a stadium full of people today? Without Beyonce or Bruce Springsteen opening up for you. Because it is my belief that if you are not already that popular RIGHT NOW, you can't beat Trump. Period.
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16. The 1st factor a candidate needs to defeat Trump is a huge social media following. The 2nd is the ability to pack a stadium full of people TODAY, without an opening act. The 3rd factor is this candidate has to pose a STRONG contrast in character/personality to Donald Trump
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17. The Democratic candidate in 2020 MUST contrast with Donald Trump. They must be a person of impeccable integrity. They must be known for decency and compassion. They must be seen as generous and inspirational. No corruption.
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18. Lastly, the Democratic candidate in 2020 must have a demonstrated history of being able to organize people on the national level. It would help if they have a real presence in all 50 states and know how to organize and mobilize people in practical ways.
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19. In summary, here are the 4 factors needed to defeat Trump. a. A huge social media following b. A deeply devoted base of support - enough to pack stadiums c. A strong contrast in personality & character to Trump d. Experience with organizing on the national level
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20. I believe just 3 people have the 4 factors to defeat Trump easily. Others could still win, but these 3 people would crush him. A. Oprah B. Michelle Obama C. Bernie Sanders Biden could win. Booker, Harris, Warren, Gillibrand could win Oprah, Michelle, Bernie would crush it
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21. I agree with every single argument that "we don't need another celebrity." But 2020 is not normal. The person does not have to be a celebrity per se, but to defeat Trump, to win back the news cycle, will take very unique factors that only a few people have It's where we are
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22. End of thread. We must not treat running against Trump like it's a normal thing. He's not normal. How he dominates the news is not normal. Defeating him will require a different approach. We could perhaps go back to normal down the road. But we're not there yet.
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I sort of agree, but I think many now see Obama as part of the “establishment” & what is going to galvanize voters will be a candidate who is at least slightly outside of that realm. You could run Biden & win, but the galvanization wouldn’t be as strong.
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IMO Biden won't be the nom for 4 reasons: 1) He will be 78 2) He was *the author* of the '94 Crime Bill 3) He completely mishandled the Anita Hill hearings 4) He's never been a good primary candidate anyway, barely getting any delegates in his 2 tries for the nomination.
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I agree with that assessment, but I think Biden has one ability others struggle with and that’s an ability to speak to Trump voters, but also compassionately. Rare combo for both sides.
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Yes but with Biden it's a double edged sword. He can talk to the regular joe and shoot the shit but that also makes him gaffe prone. But maybe being VP for 8 yrs honed his skills, guess we'll just have to wait and see.
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Without a doubt. But, next to Trump... if people voted on facts & reality the landscape would be vastly different. Unfortunately, they don’t. We shall see...
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I hate to say it but Obama could run again if he officially changed his name and waited one year...but America didn't appreciate him as a lawyer the 1st go around... they wanted to be entertained...are they not entertained?
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I was wondering earlier today why he didn't, especially with all that Trump says about him
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Not sure you are right. Look at the money made by the media with Trump. He is gold dust for Fox (bff) and CNN - ratings, ads for the next four years. Almost guaranteed with Trump.
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@BarackObama If Obama was insane enough to do it again he legally could run for President again right? - End of conversation
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