Trump is a VERY formidable, nebulous political opponent and will not be easy to beat in 2020. None of the traditional rules apply to him. And almost none of the traditional rules for who the Democrats choose to defeat him apply. // A THREAD on how to select his 2020 opponent
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TRAIT #2: The candidate who defeats Donald Trump must be able able to win the electoral college. This means they must deeply resonate not just in New York & California, but in 25-35 other states in midwest and south. This is much more difficult than it appears.
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TRAIT #3: The candidate who defeats Donald Trump must electrify young people. Hillary Clinton was the first Democratic nominee in decades who was not also the #1 choice of young people. Bernie won all people under 30 across every Demographic. But Hillary got the nomination.
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TRAIT #4: The candidate who defeats Donald Trump must present a clear, stark contrast to Donald Trump himself. They must have integrity, principles, values, must stand for actual policies, etc. A candidate who muddies the water with Trump will be very problematic.
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TRAIT #5: The candidate who defeats Donald Trump must have a proven record of fundraising. This will be the most expensive, consequential presidential campaign in modern American history. The candidate cannot rely on the Democratic Party itself to get this right for them.
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I'll close there. I have dozens of other things I look for in a presidential candidate that all deal with policy. But the 5 traits I just shared are what I strongly believe we need in a candidate to defeat Trump. VERY FEW people, sadly, fit that bill. 3 to 4 people.
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Nobody knew who Obama was in 2007. We need someone who can INSPIRE others because of who they are. This means their personal story, particularly if it includes examples of self-sacrifice to advance the common good, must be compelling. IOW not simply a lawyer/pol
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Bernie matches all five points and would have won in '16 without Clinton's thumb on the scales.
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One man can do it...
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Bernie hasn't shown the ability to get the votes of older Black women. That's what hurt him in the early primaries.
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Wrong
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I disagree. Pre-popularity is not needed. Popularity can be created in a single moment; it happens everyday. Political leaders when they speak have an ability to tap into the passions, hopes and fears of the masses.
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I agree with this & Trait #3...but with a *major* caveat: Popularity (which often translates into celebrity) can NOT be the main factor. For example, I would NOT vote for Beyonce...or even Oprah. The ability to *self* promote without effective public service skill is useless.
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Other than Bernie I can’t think of a Dem office holder who will fill a stadium today. Who?
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They must be physically and emotionally ready to campaign their ass off. Don't rely on surrogates or robo calls - get out to each state and press the flesh.
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Kinda like Bernie’s been doing?
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I don't want popular. I want boring. I want a candidate who says the reality TV bad faith tweeting era is over and done.
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Bernie
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