1/ Over the last few years, most of the largest Fintech M&A has happened in legacy payments processing. World Pay + FIS ($35B); First Data + Fiserv ($22B); TSYS + Global Payments ($21B); World Pay + Vantiv ($10B)
(Cc: @Qatalystgroup)
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3/ This trend is perhaps most evident
@PayPal, that benefits from the virtuous flywheel of commerce + payments
. PP monetizes merchants by processing their payments. So PP is incentivized to (1) bring more consumers to those merchants (2) convert them into paying customersPrikaži ovu nit -
4/
@Honey helps them do just that. Being part of the consumer’s product/ deal discovery journey early will improve conversion metrics (aka getting customers to pay w/ PP)
This bolsters PP’s merchant value prop as they compete with cards, Apple Pay etc at checkoutPrikaži ovu nit -
5/ Worth mentioning that
@Honey also brings millennial + GenZ shoppers to PP’s merchants, a demographic merchants desperately want (and need!)
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@Honey will likely become PP’s defacto consumer loyalty/ rewards platform (across all properties including Venmo)
These programs are expensive and incredibly complex to create from scratchPrikaži ovu nit -
7/ PayPal will continue to play in multiple Fintech-adjacent markets: P2P, B2C, B2B payments as well as online and offline commerce. And they clearly have big aspirations for growth
:Prikaži ovu nit -
8/ “We believe that we operate in an addressable market that is $110 trillion. And our long-term aspiration as a company is to have somewhere between 10% and 15% market share of that.”
@Dan_Schulman, CEO of PPPrikaži ovu nit -
9) I predict many more exits at intersection of commerce + payments going forward. Universe of acquirers is massive– aggregate value of Paypal, Square, Shopify, Stripe, Adyen is $235B+; legacy institutions estimated at $4500B+... with many trying to become full-stack!


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… eg: payments co’s like