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shadihamid's profile
Shadi Hamid
Shadi Hamid
Shadi Hamid
Verified account
@shadihamid

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Shadi HamidVerified account

@shadihamid

Senior fellow @BrookingsInst; Contributing writer @TheAtlantic; Editor @WCrowdsLive; Author of ISLAMIC EXCEPTIONALISM and TEMPTATIONS OF POWER: http://amzn.to/2RpBpVt 

Washington, DC
brookings.edu/experts/hamids
Joined March 2009

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    Shadi Hamid‏Verified account @shadihamid 10 Apr 2020

    Sweden is doing exactly what Trump threatened to do—keep the economy, restaurants, and bars open. Yet they have all the things we don't have: centrist leaders, reliance on experts & strong public health system. Which challenges the "Trump caused the disastrous US response" thesis

    10:14 AM - 10 Apr 2020
    • 336 Retweets
    • 1,136 Likes
    • Ngiare Perspicuous Minhaj Rais Slightly Drowsy Wear a damn mask Reaaz Ahmed* John Laprise, PhD にゃあ James R. Copland
    182 replies 336 retweets 1,136 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Shadi Hamid‏Verified account @shadihamid 10 Apr 2020

        As #Sweden continues to refuse lockdown, its deaths per million is skyrocketing, far exceeding the US as well as its neighbors. Compare to Finland and Norway, for examplepic.twitter.com/I0QOSIK9qD

        316 replies 1,945 retweets 2,771 likes
        Show this thread
      3. Shadi Hamid‏Verified account @shadihamid 10 Apr 2020

        Be careful what you wish for: I hear Americans longing for a more centralized response to COVID. Sweden has that. The problem with centralized top-down approaches, though, is they're only good if they're good. If you have a *bad* centralized response, the whole country suffers

        52 replies 199 retweets 1,020 likes
        Show this thread
      4. Shadi Hamid‏Verified account @shadihamid 10 Apr 2020

        It's worth noting that #Sweden's system is *more* technocratic than even other European countries. Elected governments give considerable leeway to health authorities to do what's best according to expert assessment. But "expertise" doesn't necessarily lead to better outcomes

        12 replies 94 retweets 426 likes
        Show this thread
      5. Shadi Hamid‏Verified account @shadihamid 10 Apr 2020

        Part of #Sweden's justification for their lax approach is their high social trust. But this isn't entirely true. We recently published a @BrookingsFP paper by @LeeTomson on the rise of right-wing populism and "alternative media" in Sweden. Read:https://www.brookings.edu/research/the-rise-of-sweden-democrats-and-the-end-of-swedish-exceptionalism/ …

        15 replies 104 retweets 330 likes
        Show this thread
      6. Shadi Hamid‏Verified account @shadihamid 10 Apr 2020

        We're not the only ones with a self-conception of "exceptionalism" (our exceptionalism isn't exceptional). There's Swedish exceptionalism too. I don't generally have a problem with the perpetuation of national myths. Sometimes myths are good. But sometimes myths aren't.

        17 replies 46 retweets 368 likes
        Show this thread
      7. Shadi Hamid‏Verified account @shadihamid 10 Apr 2020

        In short: non-Trumpist leaders + experts + technocracy + strong public healthcare can still (somehow) result in a "Trumpist" response to COVID. Where Trumpist leaders + distrust of experts + weak bureaucracy + weak healthcare can still (somehow) lead to a *less* Trumpist response

        20 replies 50 retweets 212 likes
        Show this thread
      8. Shadi Hamid‏Verified account @shadihamid 10 Apr 2020

        Also, if you're interested in the debate over how central Trump is (or should be) in our assessment of the US response to COVID, check out the latest episode of my and @dmarusic's podcast THE WISDOM OF CROWDS:https://soundcloud.com/the-wisdom-of-crowds/episode-14-the-dangerous-temptation-of-ideals-and-anti-politics …

        14 replies 32 retweets 128 likes
        Show this thread
      9. Shadi Hamid‏Verified account @shadihamid 12 Apr 2020

        How does any of this alter our assessments? For one, Trump, or having Trump-like leadership, isn't the most relevant independent variable in assessing how countries respond to COVID

        2 replies 4 retweets 18 likes
        Show this thread
      10. Shadi Hamid‏Verified account @shadihamid 12 Apr 2020

        We should avoid seeing everything, particularly a crisis not of his own creation, through the lens of Trump's badness. He *is* bad, but his badness doesn't have a lot of explanatory power. In an unwieldy federal system, Trump matters, but he's not all or even most of what matters

        5 replies 6 retweets 32 likes
        Show this thread
      11. Shadi Hamid‏Verified account @shadihamid 12 Apr 2020

        The mainstream narrative seems to be: If only instead of Trump, we had competent governance, trust in experts, and stronger healthcare, our response to COVID would be significantly better. Sweden (and various other EU countries) have all those things but *more* per capita deaths

        12 replies 9 retweets 40 likes
        Show this thread
      12. Shadi Hamid‏Verified account @shadihamid 12 Apr 2020

        Competent governance may be necessary but it's far from sufficient. This might otherwise seem obvious: getting the facts right and "listening to the experts" (which experts do you decide to listen to?) is not, and can't be, *the* only answer to the question

        6 replies 4 retweets 26 likes
        Show this thread
      13. Shadi Hamid‏Verified account @shadihamid 12 Apr 2020

        This IMHE projection of #Sweden (somehow) reaching 1313 deaths per million by August seems very, very high to me, but in any case it underscores the *potential* danger of Sweden's response, if it doesn't changepic.twitter.com/FXeY2jKPYZ

        9 replies 7 retweets 18 likes
        Show this thread
      14. Shadi Hamid‏Verified account @shadihamid 12 Apr 2020

        What this means is that Sweden could end up with 7 times more per capita deaths than the US, and that's not even taking into account the fact that Sweden's few large cities have much lower population density than the US cities most affected by COVID

        12 replies 7 retweets 21 likes
        Show this thread
      15. End of conversation

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