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My new essay in @TheAtlantic -- "The Roots of the Islamic State's Appeal," on how and why Islam matters:
http://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2014/10/the-roots-of-the-islamic-states-appeal/382175/ …
"AKP knows that, unlike in the past, elected politicians, even if they misbehave, won't be corrected by the generals" http://www.todayszaman.com/columnist/joost-lagendijk/akp-from-post-islamist-back-to-soft-islamist-i_368071.html …
4 retweets 4 favoritesThis suggests #AKP's Islamizing turn wasn't inevitable, at least not this soon. Depended on structural changes more than Erdogan's whims.
.@joostlagendijk identifies "structural" factors to explain AKP's shift. 1) removal of army pressure. 2) Incentive of EU accession gone #pt
Columnist @joostlagendijk tries to make sense of AKP's metamorphosis, points to key factors: http://www.todayszaman.com/columnist/joost-lagendijk/akp-from-post-islamist-back-to-soft-islamist-i_368071.html … Includes my thoughts
In light of #Tunisia's election, re-upping @MonicaLMarks's paper on #Ennahda’s Approach to Tunisia’s Constitution: http://www.brookings.edu/research/papers/2014/02/10-ennahda-tunisia-constitution-marks …
My brother's emotional confession on T. Swift @shadihamid pic.twitter.com/GoUUGMgxaf
Egypt FM spox uses ISIS = all Islamists line; says no difference btw ISIS, MB, Dawn, Nusra, Ansar, etc. "They are all the same." #pt
Libya. "The more evidence there is of Egyptian involvement, the greater the risk the opposing side might make abrupt strategy choices." #pt
Meanwhile, good piece by @jmalsin in @TIME on destabilizing effects of Egyptian intervention in Libya: http://time.com/3642616/libya-oil-egypt-tobruk-tripoli/ … #Libya
.@FWehrey has written so much good stuff on #Libya, it's hard to point to only one article. Read as much as you can: http://carnegieendowment.org/experts/?fa=709&type=analysis …
This @lawfareblog piece by @fwehrey is probably the best thing I've read all year on #Libya & US policy options: http://www.lawfareblog.com/2014/12/the-foreign-policy-essay-mosul-on-the-mediterranean-the-islamic-state-in-libya-and-u-s-counterterrorism-dilemmas/ …
As @fwehrey writes: "The costs to Libya since the start of [Gen. Heftar's] Operation Dignity have been extraordinary" http://www.lawfareblog.com/2014/12/the-foreign-policy-essay-mosul-on-the-mediterranean-the-islamic-state-in-libya-and-u-s-counterterrorism-dilemmas/ …
3. One thing #Libya had going for it was that the Islamist/non-Islamist cleavage wasn't (yet) the defining cleavage. That changed in 2014.
2. Naturally, a Sissi-backed self-styled "savior" confirmed worst fears of even more pragmatic Islamists, pushing them further to the right.
9 retweets 2 favorites1. One of the bigger, underreported stories of 2014 is disastrous effect of the "strongman" model on Libya, w- introduction of Gen. Heftar.
29 retweets 13 favorites"But Westerners should never have expected old-fashioned geopolitics to go away," writes @wrmead in @ForeignAffairs: http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/141211/walter-russell-mead/the-return-of-geopolitics …
"In the space of two centuries, child-rearing has moved from a private good to a public good," writes @BillGalston: http://www.brookings.edu/research/reports2/2014/10/new-challenge-market-democracies …
Proud to be shortlisted by @Amnesty for these 3 investigations
– http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/jun/22/disappeared-egyptians-torture-secret-military-prison …
– http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/feb/22/cairo-prison-abu-zabaal-deaths-37-prisoners …
– http://www.theguardian.com/world/interactive/2013/jul/18/cairo-republican-guard-shooting-full-story …
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