I'm really surprised how many takes I've been seeing against staggered primaries lately, *especially* this year. It's extremely expensive to run a national campaign, and most of the candidates simply wouldn't be able to compete in a national primary day
That isn't to say this is the best option, but in the absence of more sweeping changes to the system, simply saying "we should have a national primary day" would result in a race between Bloomberg, Steyer, probably Biden, and maybe Sanders
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That's not to say the staggered system couldn't be improved, either. There's really no reason for the delay between the first four states, and it'd be nice to have the first results come from some more demographically representative states like NV and SC
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And most of the staggering beyond that is completely pointless. IMO we should have the initial few states on one day, super tuesday, and then the rest of the country on one day, all roughly one month apart with a debate between.
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The other thing a national primary day would do is increase the likelihood of a contested convention, which would mean superdelegates end up deciding the nominee. It is much better to see the field winnowed by Super Tuesday than this outcome.
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Again, I'm all for fundamentally changing that system, and abolishing any chance of super delegates being involved, doing things like national ranked choice voting, etc. But without these changes *first*, having a national primary day will only make things worse
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Probably the best example of this working well is Obama in 2018. He was a relatively unknown candidate until winning Iowa, and absolutely would not have risen to national prominence if the entire country had voted at once. Clinton would have truly been the "inevitable" candidate
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Full disclosure on candidate related biases influencing this thread, my current preference of candidates is: - Warren - Sanders - Biden - Buttigieg - Whoever has gone the longest without using a transphobic slur
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Also why are folks mad about staggered primaries "giving results when most of the country hasn't spoken" but aren't mad about polls doing essentially the same thing?
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End of conversation
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