ESI Analytics

@scienceinvesti

Evidence-based investing. Much about technical analysis and cycle-related stuff... we probably disagree. Information only - not advice.

Vrijeme pridruživanja: rujan 2017.

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  1. 5. velj

    3/3 Growth in one of the most important global economies will be affected negatively. Chinese stocks opened roughly 8% lower after the new year’s holidays. Most likely, this was the very first fractal of a larger downside pattern.

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  2. 5. velj

    2/3 Censorship and disinformation triggered fear during the past few weeks. The reaction to the virus may have been exaggerated as pictures of empty streets and markets in Chinese metropoles circulate around the internet. These pictures reveal a severe hit for

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  3. 5. velj

    1/3 The was most likely the straw that broke the camel’s back. It came on the back of trade tensions that faced with the United States. Both catalysts hit the Chinese economy as the global expansionary cycle reached a very mature stage.

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  4. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    4. velj

    I’m outside one of the Forbidden City gates. Rare to see it so desolate. Even after the extended Lunar New Year holiday, famous landmarks in Beijing remain closed. 😷 Latest stats: >20K people infected, >420 deaths, >700 people cured.

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  5. 3. velj

    An estimate of the impact on China, APAC, and World GDP.

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  6. 1. velj

    “On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero.”

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  7. 31. sij

    The number of confirmed cases exceeded today the total number of SARS cases during the 2003 epidemic. The John Hopkins University publishes a very good global overview on this topic:

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  8. 30. sij

    is probably going to have more confirmed cases tomorrow than SARS had in total during the 2003 outbreak.

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  9. 30. sij

    Our gauge confirms the P/C ratio. Sentiment spiked during the first few weeks in January. It remains elevated despite the most recent volatility.

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  10. 28. sij

    Now, it is up to the market to show confirming action of a bearish trend. The fractals have to morph into a motive wave, which must cut through crucial S/R.

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  11. 27. sij

    Did we know about the 5 months ago? Of course not, but Chinese equities showed typical bear market characteristics. It was and remains vulnerable to negative headlines.

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  12. 26. sij
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  13. 23. sij
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  14. 22. sij

    in Ludicrous Mode Disclaimer: That's a log scale 'mam

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  15. 22. sij

    Market participants, both retail and professional, have been conditioned to buy every dip and disregard the fundamentals. The party continues until they figure out that the emperor has no clothes.

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  16. 17. sij

    Don't try this at home! CBOE P/C

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  17. 14. sij
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  18. 13. sij

    Germany went 8/8 into if the OECD LEI < 98.75. It happened again during the past few months. A similar picture unfolds in the UK as the LEI contracts more or less since the Brexit vote in 2016 and the US, which saw a peak in the Conference Board LEI a few months ago.

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  19. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    Last week, y'all bought to open 21.6 million speculative call options. That's the most *ever*. Your previous record was 19.7 million during the week of Jan 26, 2018. Your total bullish / bearish volume was the most since March 2000. So...wow.

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  20. 11. sij

    The four most dangerous words in investing are: This time it’s different – Sir John Templeton

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