@QWQiao has a (well thought out) tweet hypothesis that stablecoins stop the native token accruing value:https://twitter.com/QWQiao/status/1210284534085902337 …
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Bullish on Ethereum but bearish on Ether :)
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This kind of begs the question. A reasonable starting point for any “new” project or company is to assume failure and then ask why it won’t?
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Although I am bullish on ETH, my major bearish view for Ethereum is uncertainty. Investors want to invest based on clear and predictable information. The upgrade to Ethereum 2.0 is causing significant uncertainty for the most important use case in Ethereum: DeFi
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Great thoughtful replies - thank you :) Addressing the overall point of uncertainty: "Investors want to invest based on clear and predictable information." Where's the alpha in that? People make lots of investments in technologies that have extreme uncertainty tied to them.
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No one cares about crypto. We live inside a bubble that had a 1 time exponential pump that has occurred ~10 times in history. The world moves on and we don’t capture users.
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If I would write a bearish thesis I would make these points: 1. ETH network effect is over rated - Despite being a clear leader now, we are still too early. Vast majority of economic activity and users are still locked in Web 2 and it's essentially anyone's game to unlock it.
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2. While ETH breaks new research ground, it is burning resources for this research and experiments. The space being open source diminishes first mover advantage. R&D results are a public good others can copy and improve upon.
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Čini se da učitavanje traje već neko vrijeme.
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