Sara Hobolt

@sarahobolt

Professor of European politics at LSE. Specialize in referendums, elections, public opinion and EU politics.

Joined May 2015

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  1. Pinned Tweet
  2. Big politics day: French centre-right to vote their presidential candidate. to declare she'll run again (or not). 2017 defining.

  3. Once again: distinguish between the *median* Trump voter (i.e., a Republican) & the *pivotal* Trump voter (who flipped MI, WI, PA)

  4. Just as in vote, lack of education rather than income was key predictor of support

  5. For anyone Brussels-based: there is an event on 8 Dec with expert speakers from across LSE

  6. Next populist victory - President Le Pen? According to EIU forecast, her likelihood of winning is c. 40%

  7. Should be a fascinating event w. and . Audio will be available soon after:

  8. Young voters (age 18-29) supported Clinton over Trump by 55% to 37%. But big increase in young voting for 3rd-party option: 8% v 3% in 2012

  9. events are challenging the claim that "elections are won at the centre". in multidimensional policy space the centre may not exist

  10. Strong parallels between & voters, yet education gap greater in UK and partisanship the driver in US

  11. Dramatic, destabilising things are happening in our politics.We have not got a good grasp on their depth or magnitude. We need to do better.

  12. The key lines from Merkel's message to Trump:

  13. As several people asked, here are my thoughts in a single thread:

  14. I enjoyed our panel with and at conference. Still uncertain what kind of Brexit we will see.

  15. It is curious that the people who wanted to return powers to the UK Parliament are now troubled that Parliament may have a say on

  16. Thanks to the EES team. This is a great resource for Europeanists!

  17. Sara Hobolt followed , and
    • @j_a_tucker

      Politics Prof, NYU; Co-PI NYU Social Media and Political Participation lab (); Monkey Cage co-author, week-end triathalete

    • @JohnRentoul

      Chief Political Commentator, The Independent; visiting professor, King's College, London. Books: Tony Blair, Prime Minister; Banned List; QTWTAIN; Listellany

  18. Did you see the new website of - European Election Studies? Please visit and promote:

  19. Important in a representative democracy to have parliament involved. But MPs are unlikely to block

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