Independent estimates say 80K, advocates say 70K.
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It’s really weird that advocates are going with a lower number than the independent state agency!
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80K sounds very high to me unless they're including the woodwork effect (previously eligible people newly enrolling)
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Could be. That contributed to Obamacare reaching its coverage goals overall, despite not all states expanding.
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Yeah, has anybody found a link to that 80K number? Woodwork effect is an important stat too (but a different stat)
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I still can’t find a link to the 80k number -just a bunch of articles citing the Maine Office of Fiscal Review w/o the doc
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Same. They put woodwork at 10K, seemingly on top of the 80K. Sounds very high, I don't buy it without seeing the methods section.pic.twitter.com/DFxHad57Ai
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This describes the sourcing on both numbers (see page 5) https://www.chn.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/10/Download-File.pdf …
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I’ve seen Maine OFR cited in multiple articles, but I can’t find the actually document anywhere!
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The 70K is the older number, that's why advocates have been using it and it's in most material. 80K more recent
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Do you have a link to the report estimating 80k?
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just sent
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80k according to http://legislature.maine.gov/ofpr/
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I’ve looked at their site, but where is the actual doc?
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oh weird. here's a study by lefty advocates, looking for something better http://mejp.org/sites/default/files/Medicaid-Expansion-The-Real-Impact-Kilbreth-Sep2017.pdf …
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Not a dumb question.
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The $70K figure seems more prevalent in-state, and comes from here, I believe: http://mainersforhealthcare.org/about/
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Urban has predicted takeup at 50-55K (not number eligible) https://www.urban.org/sites/default/files/publication/89986/2001246_the_cost_of_not_expanding_medicaid_updated_analysis.pdf …)
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Disclaimer I'm a biased HIPSM alum but when it comes to predicted enrollment I think their numbers are the best around
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