the best that can be said for 538 is that their Florida prediction was an early warning, but they got everything else wrong
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but 538 basically got polling deeply wrong,and also said that certain key states were safe, and Hillary never campaigned there
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538 didn't get polling wrong - polling got reality wrong. 538 priced in the chance of polling error unlike other
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fair but their model still upped the % just last night in the very states Hillary needed and lost
Fin de la conversation
Nouvelle conversation -
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Nate Silver partially provoked this; it's obvious the DNC (at least the Bernie side) was relying on 538 or another similar model
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Le chargement semble prendre du temps.
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