Ritual and guilt offer protection from the pervasiveness of Taleb distributions in everyday life, but less so for rapidly changing worlds.
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Replying to @sarahdoingthing
@sarahdoingthing Doesn't rapid change reduce odds you are in a Taleb trap as well though? Hard to die of niacin deficiency while at war.1 reply 0 retweets 1 like -
Replying to @TristanSevers
@TristanSevers the problem is they're everywhere and kind of fractal - an underlying principle of the universe maybe1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @sarahdoingthing
@TristanSevers all over the place in war - take risks for small benefit until reality comes out and NAILS you. and they're invisible yay1 reply 0 retweets 1 like -
Replying to @sarahdoingthing
@sarahdoingthing I may be misunderstanding the concept, but wouldn't Taleb distribution in war be, e.g., the phalanx strategy?2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @TristanSevers
@TristanSevers I'm not booked up on the strengths and weaknesses of the phalanx though!1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @sarahdoingthing
@sarahdoingthing The thing I'm not getting is how, in an area not sufficiently stable to have traditions, Taleb failure is a distinct type.1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @TristanSevers
@sarahdoingthing Bad traditions give Taleb distributions, good ones probably don't. No traditions, category doesn't make sense.1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @TristanSevers
@TristanSevers not sure if this clarifies but - "traditions" (training, guilt etc.) are hedges against the Taleb dists inherent in reality1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @sarahdoingthing
@TristanSevers so no traditions means fully vulnerable to ugly hidden risks1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
@TristanSevers and of course when tech makes totally new landscapes, no helpful traditions are possible, except unchanging human stuff maybe
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Replying to @sarahdoingthing
@sarahdoingthing I obviously need to read into this more, and thanks.1 reply 0 retweets 1 like -
Replying to @TristanSevers
@TristanSevers I probably need 5000 words and a bunch of diagrams and statistics knowledge I lack to explain it properly - just a stab!0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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