@sarahdoingthing Can we measure something like effect size * likelihood, and suggest that you should keep that 4 sigma below the mean?
-
-
Replying to @ContentOfMedia
@ContentOfMedia sure do you think that requires >infinite effort?2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @sarahdoingthing
@sarahdoingthing I mean, can we make it normative to limit effect sizes to a certain small amount, then assert you've done well enough?1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @ContentOfMedia
@ContentOfMedia this still seems to require the effort of getting a theory of reality that's unrealistically precise and accurate1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @sarahdoingthing
@sarahdoingthing ...maybe? Below certain thresholds of likelihood or effect size, we can ignore some outcomes. Might still be intractable.1 reply 0 retweets 1 like -
Replying to @ContentOfMedia
@ContentOfMedia this is also the central problem of utilitarianism (illusion of being able to measure/calculate/predict complexity)1 reply 0 retweets 1 like -
Replying to @sarahdoingthing
@sarahdoingthing I wonder if there's a tractable way to estimate how much you will impose on someone.1 reply 0 retweets 1 like -
Replying to @ContentOfMedia
@ContentOfMedia ...multiplied by everyone in the world over all time acting independently & changing their behavior in response to things2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @sarahdoingthing
@ContentOfMedia ...with limited rationality and information and considerable variation...1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @sarahdoingthing
@ContentOfMedia ...look at how the law of negligence works and shudder1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
@ContentOfMedia (proximate cause for instance is known to be intractable)
-
-
Replying to @sarahdoingthing
@sarahdoingthing In the desert, a butterfly flaps its wings, and says, "Look upon my works, ye mighty, and despair."0 replies 0 retweets 2 likesThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.