Folks, no one knows what's going to happen tonight. Rs could lose the House by 10+ seats. Rs could keep the House. Ds could lose 5+ Senate seats. And/or Ds could flip a couple of R Senate seats. The lesson of 2016: don't listen to anyone who says they know what will go down.
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I don't know. I mean, of course don't overvalue polls, they're only models. But they're useful models. And more often than not, when outcomes don't align with polling data, there's something shady afoot. Like what happened in 2016...
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America’s Constitution and Democracy are precious and should be protected at all costs
Our Special Relationship is with America NOT Trump
Hopes and Prayers for today from the UK
1
If democrats don’t take the House, liberal media will be crying.
This “forget the polls” stuff:
1) CYA
2) A horrid trend of rejecting intellectualism.
3) people having no idea how %s work. Yes if a pollster predicts 75% victory, that’s still a 1/4 probability
4) This sentiment, ignoring 4casting, doesn’t exist in financial markets
Oh man, not another journalist’s tweet telling us that no one knows what’s going to happen tonight....
