More interesting and more appropriate for understanding the power-worshipping chattering class is the con job of James Fallows, et alia, regarding Japan's and the East Asian economic model's invincibility.
-
-
-
Feel free to read actual journalism of those days! Eg https://www.amazon.com/More-Like-Us-James-Fallows/dp/0395528100 … Arguments: 1) Japan NOT converging on Adam Smith model (true) 2) US response should be to maximize its very different strengths (More Like Us) 3) Japan’s goal=protecting high-value producers (still has)
-
That piece was wrong 20 years ago, and is still wrong. (That’s what you’re working from??)
-
I always liked this one on the wisdom of Friedrich List and apologizing for state economic policy being concerned with the welfare, indeed sovereignty, of people in groups—in communities, in nations.https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/1993/12/how-the-world-works/305854/ …
End of conversation
New conversation -
-
-
At least one part of that sounds great. Can the U.S. keep Montreal? :-)
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
-
-
To seriously delve into futurism is amazingly complex - The variables are astronomically many.(probability,game theory,complex systems... Who has a good grasp on prediction?)
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
-
-
@1lindsayk this is that article from 1994 I often talk about and dislike, because of points made by
@sapinker hereThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
-
-
Kaplan might be proven right? African population bomb is a threat to stability.pic.twitter.com/ePOWEq2ELa
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
-
-
Utterly false? or just not explosive as described? Since 1994 the problems and social divisions he outlaid have only worsened, not resolved themselves. Kaplan stated "a few decades hence" - perhaps we ought to suspend our judgement. I think the worst is yet to come.
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
-
-
A few of these are still on the table: - Conflict w/ China over their expanded footprint in Africa - Cities arguably more important than nation states (see
@paragkhanna’s Connectography) - Recent upticks in crime, though not yet trends, per se Was there a time horizon?Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
-
-
Sounds like what success for the people who yearn for the end of Western Civilization are dreaming of.
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
-
-
Four billion sub-Saharan Africans trying to bum-rush their way into Europe and Israel. White goyim will retreat to Eastern Europe; Western Europe will become a dysfunction African banlieue. And no, Hispanics and Blacks will NEVER voluntarily separate from their white US hosts.
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
-
-
There still might be a proxy war in Africa between NATO countries and Russia/China over their lithium supply.
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
-
-
That's not much of a prediction "China breaks apart" Da.. China breaks apart on a daily basis.
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
-
-
I find this sort of exercise interesting, not just because these sorts of dire predictions rarely come true, but because it’s hard to know if some would have occurred had they not been predicted, and avoided.
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
-
-
Really a cowardly statement imo Steve. Try predicting geopolitics in 2 decades. Why go after someone for going out on a limb? If you can do better try and let us judge.
-
I don’t think he’s trying to be mean, just countering the fatalistic narratives that pervade our discourse. He’s also promoting his latest book.
-
Lol true. Not sure Kaplan is fatalistic though.
End of conversation
New conversation -
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.