"The coming war with X...keeps not happening.” Until it does.
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Has Team America, World Police ceased its endemic warfare against virtually everyone? Shut up.
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These things are only clear in the history books
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That's kinda reassuring, I suppose. But as they say on Wall St., past performance is no guarantee of future results. Let's hope all those wars keep not-happening.
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It keeps on not happening - till it does!!
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Nature of war has evolved
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Predictions of war are like the fabled rain dance, just keep going until it actually happens. It's simply a matter of time.
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I take your point. Though the residents of South East Ukraine may disagree with you given the occasional artillery fire.
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Not much time has elapsed & conflict can flare up & escalate almost any time. I’d like to be optimistic, but we need to be vigilant about threats. All I am saying, is give war a chance.
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True. Though I guess people could have kept saying that up to August 1914
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Well, one slip up and the peace is far from robust.
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We don't know that, even I agree the chance is very low.
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c'mon steven you know all about tail risk. i wouldn't hold my breath.
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Nuclear weapons are preventive is one of the most unprovable statements. And when it fails there will be no one to refute it.
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non-proliferation treaty has worked tho. many nations have not seeked Nuc weapons because the US will defend them with our's. granted these are all allies but fewer nuclear states is always better
End of conversation
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Best case scenario
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Geez, Steven, we’re not yet even a year into it.
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