since "climate action" is almost entirely virtue signalling, I suspect that it's mostly fear - fear of not being one of the group of the virtuous.
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"There's something fascinating about science. One gets such wholesale returns in conjecture for such trifling investment of fact." Mark Twain.
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I dragged myself through the article, perhaps because I felt it missed the point from the beginning —facts are facts and scientific disclosure needn't be massaged or manipulated. But, this is an amazingly apt quote for the subject/article...just an outstanding quote to use here!
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What does "action on climate change" even mean when 99% of the problem is in the future developing world? Unless someone has some magic plan to force China to stop its industrial+economic development, the collective impact of Western govt policies are mostly symbolic.
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Recovering from your aggrandized '99%' figure, you are right to bring attention to the West's absolvitory addiction towards China—feckless at best. But, I do think you ignore China's self-interest. They're swimming in smog and are just as desperate to find a solution as we are.
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""your aggrandized '99%' figure"" How would you even know? (see: article on the margin of error in Chinese emissions data being larger than Europe's total carbon output)https://www.reuters.com/article/china-climatechange/insight-the-unbearable-lightness-of-chinese-emissions-data-idUSL3N13023O20151109 …
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Please...you can dispense with the posturing. I don't (and you don't either), as a matter of fact; which is why I didn't suggest a ridiculous (even for hyperbole) number. China is a world renowned bully, strutting around with a hall pass...but who just pulled out of Paris?
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"A ridiculous number". You don't seem to have any basis at all for saying what's ridiculous and what's not. Western world emissions-growth rates are already negative. China is not just largest emitter, but largest growing. https://static.guim.co.uk/sys-images/Guardian/Pix/pictures/2011/2/10/1297340671284/Carbon-graphic-001.jpg …
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Again with the prevericates? Negative growth rates don't speak to the nominal proportion you are purporting. Placing the West into the *hundredth percentile* is ludicrous, especially when scale rightly configures to historical contributions.
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The "problem" is future emissions *growth*. As a share of future growth, the West isn't a significant contributor. Whether 1% or other #, its tiny. Meanwhile the west thinks overpriced electric cars and hemp shopping bags are 'addressing climate change'. Its a delusion.
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Quite right. I could have avoided the disconnect by reading your tweet closer...missed 'future' entirely—a local problem that I seemed to have forced on you. Your loose prediction is much more reasonable. Sincere apologies for wasting time.
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How about reality - we don’t need fear or hope when we got reality. It just needs to be explained in plain English to people. Practical plans. Nothing abstract. Show the chain, of how it would affect the personal.
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Great piece Quite long, probably too long for many to finish, but it was fair, nuanced and compassionate. Well worth a read
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I think the fear-based communications that present only worst-case scenarios don't work long term when people live through the prediction time periods and see something much more moderate IRL. This generates resentment and mistrust towards the messengers and the science itself.
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End of the world narratives that don’t come to fruition erode the credibility of scientists who support them.
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Hope kills action. Once you lose hope, you act.
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One thing is for sure. Anything with religion in it only worsens it. So I will go with fear inspires more action. Just look at BTC miners and their Ponzi burning electricity.
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A better question is does more government action have better results on climate change? Seems to me, the biggest push in solving climate issues has actually been private institutions, driving the price of solar down 70% in a few years. Embracing electric truckings...etc.
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