not just media; it freaks ME out. Hope Nate Silver's right :@
@AlexNowrasteh @sapinker @knelligan12 @JonathanHoenighttps://twitter.com/sapinker/status/675702853319729152 …
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@sapinker@NateSilver538 I agree he is unlikely to win, but it is nevertheless concerning that fascism is growing increasingly popular.Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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@sapinker@NateSilver538 maybe it makes me a bad person, but I'm rooting for Trump just to prove Nate wrongThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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@sapinker@BillWaters7 Fake polls just like Obozo Fake election Acorn fraudhttps://youtu.be/gkUKOSnv2zYThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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@sapinker@NateSilver538 I don't see the Fascist angle. He just wants what is best for America. That isn't Fascism.Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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@sapinker it's not just about election results. The fact that a wannabe fascist has gotten so far is alarming, for the state of politics.Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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@sapinker: Dear Media, Stop Freaking Out About Donald Trump's Polls http://53eig.ht/1R01tRT ” please!Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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@sapinker According to something I just read, even if his poll numbers translate into votes for the nomination... -
@sapinker ..he'd still need to win over 35% of delegates w/ the GOP's arcane/establishment-favoring nomination rules -
@sapinker The party can't stop his popularity (they pretty much created it) but they can in fact block his path to the nomination.
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@sapinker@AlexNowrasteh Article say Polls show Trump support"about the same share of people who think the Apollo moon landings were faked"Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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@sapinker@NateSilver538 It's unclear of this due to the merit of one politician, or because of the lack of merit of all the others.Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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@sapinker but it's possible 538 is simply wrong, not exactly any trumps in the sample sizeThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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@sapinker@robfordmancs Well, that piece was published 3 weeks ago and his lead is only increasing. Any day now, I guess... -
@RvrsApacheMastr
@sapinker maybe read the article? Poll leads pretty meaningless for another month at least -
@robfordmancs@sapinker That is assuming everything goes according to Silver's theory. He usually cites Thanksgiving (4-6 weeks) 1/2 -
@RvrsApacheMastr
@sapinker it's not Silvers theory. It's something every US political scientist knows: most primary voters decide late -
@robfordmancs@sapinker Abramowitz seems to disagree: http://www.vox.com/2015/11/25/9800174/why-one-political-scientist-thinks-donald-trump-might-actually-win … I don't think Trump will wind up as nominee but 1/2 -
@RvrsApacheMastr
@sapinker he doesn't dispute premise that many voters decide late. And his case for Trump is based on more than polls.
End of conversation
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