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sapinker's profile
Steven Pinker
Steven Pinker
Steven Pinker
Verified account
@sapinker

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Steven PinkerVerified account

@sapinker

Cognitive scientist at Harvard.

Boston, MA
pinker.wjh.harvard.edu
Joined January 2010

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    Steven Pinker‏Verified account @sapinker 15 Nov 2014

    Human-level AI is 15-25 years away (& always has been): Bad predictions on artificial intelligence: http://goo.gl/oCDLve 

    2:20 PM - 15 Nov 2014
    • 113 Retweets
    • 97 Likes
    • Christina M. Gregory Russ Paul HUMBERT Adam Flick Jakub Dlabka Joanna J Bryson that gentle cat Kamlin⚡ Pablo Padilla
    24 replies 113 retweets 97 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Carl Zimmer‏Verified account @carlzimmer 15 Nov 2014
        Replying to @sapinker

        @sapinker What’s the psychology of futurism’s preference for the 15-25-years-from-now prediction? It’s rampant, in medicine, robotics, etc.

        14 replies 5 retweets 7 likes
      3. Tom Kimmerer‏ @VenerableTrees 15 Nov 2014
        Replying to @carlzimmer

        @carlzimmer @sapinker Except for practical nuclear fusion power, which is only 10 years away and always has been.

        4 replies 3 retweets 4 likes
      4. Ann Marie Grimoire‏ @amgamble 15 Nov 2014
        Replying to @VenerableTrees

        @VenerableTrees @carlzimmer @sapinker Except for those guys in--was it Utah?--that one time.

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      5. Tom Kimmerer‏ @VenerableTrees 15 Nov 2014
        Replying to @amgamble

        @amgamble @carlzimmer @sapinker Yeah, those guys really nailed it.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      6. End of conversation
      1. Dan Kaminsky‏Verified account @dakami 15 Nov 2014
        Replying to @sapinker

        @sapinker looking at Siri, Cortana, Google Now, and Echo -- "we stop calling it AI when it starts to work" rings truer every year

        0 replies 1 retweet 5 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. Preston MacDougall‏ @ChemicalEyeGuy 15 Nov 2014
        Replying to @sapinker

        @sapinker Just like controlled nuclear fusion.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Aleksandar Kamburov‏ @akamburov 16 Aug 2017
        Replying to @ChemicalEyeGuy @sapinker

        Reverse engineering vs Inventing... not really alike

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. Preston MacDougall‏ @ChemicalEyeGuy 16 Aug 2017
        Replying to @akamburov

        Your point? Both Human-like AI and controlled nuclear fusion are reverse engineering. One replicating the brain, other the sun.

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      5. Aleksandar Kamburov‏ @akamburov 16 Aug 2017
        Replying to @ChemicalEyeGuy

        With AI reverse engineering the neocortex is the hard task, with fusion - inventing a way to implement it in a confined way

        2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      6. Preston MacDougall‏ @ChemicalEyeGuy 16 Aug 2017
        Replying to @akamburov

        No offense if you're an engineer, but both lacking a foundation in basic science. Strong nuclear force and consciousness are ?s.

        2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      7. Aleksandar Kamburov‏ @akamburov 16 Aug 2017
        Replying to @ChemicalEyeGuy

        but there are real advances in neocortex research and basic science should be fine, we just need model/research 2/2

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      8. Preston MacDougall‏ @ChemicalEyeGuy 16 Aug 2017
        Replying to @akamburov

        My point is that the basic science is INCOMPLETE. We need to fund both engineering and paradigm-challenging scientific research.

        3 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      9. Aleksandar Kamburov‏ @akamburov 16 Aug 2017
        Replying to @ChemicalEyeGuy

        but there is recent research in reverse engineering that can actually work. See Numenta and Kurzweil

        2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      10. 1 more reply
      1. Vincent C. Müller‏ @VincentCMueller 23 Nov 2014
        Replying to @sapinker

        @sapinker Better predictions on high-level AI! http://www.sophia.de/pdf/2014_PT-AI_polls.pdf …

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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      1. Robert F. Siegmund‏ @robertfsiegmund 15 Nov 2014
        Replying to @sapinker

        @sapinker bc the goalposts on what is #AI are constantly being shifted

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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      1. Justin Bieber Secret News‏ @abkoma 15 Nov 2014
        Replying to @sapinker

        @sapinker Katy Perry & Justin Bieber embrace Islam http://justpaste.it/religion  NASA embraces Islam http://justpaste.it/NASA . .

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. Diogo Neves‏ @DiogoSnows 15 Nov 2014
        Replying to @sapinker

        @sapinker or good predictions as one day they will, surely, be correct :)

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. saurabh vij‏ @saurabhvij137 18 Nov 2014
        Replying to @sapinker

        @sapinker Wow...now computers can do magic tricks for us... http://bornscientist.com/Technology/?u=Artificial_Intelligence_learns_how_to_make_its_own_magic_tricks_-__Elon_musk_should_keep_an_eye …

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Jack Kruse‏ @DrJackKruse 16 Nov 2014
        Replying to @sapinker

        @sapinker Kurt Godel disagrees.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Stanny Demesmaker‏ @flegmaticus 15 Nov 2014
        Replying to @sapinker

        @sapinker @amcafee context is totally different now, we have supercomputers with the computation power of the human brain

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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