@sapinker "Why is expert prediction so bad?" Are they in an 'epistemic bubble?.http://coronaradiata.net/2012/12/07/on-the-role-of-experts-in-creating-personal-belief-systems/ …
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Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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@sapinker Since I read The foundation from Asimov I though about that. However, Taleb and his Black Swan made clear that it is an illusion.Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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@sapinker - how can expert prediction improve? Ask an expert.Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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@sapinker Ha, spooky predictions: I linked Silver to Tetlock Nov 8: http://adnausi.ca/post/35268348489 …. Throw in Taleb for a deuce: http://adnausi.ca/post/37048091157 …Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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@sapinker 'cause the are not?Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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